Estoril at Benfica

Updated

Estoril

3.7%9.4%86.9%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.52Projected Goals 3.04
1Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Vitoria+225
T 3-3 at FC Vizela+195
L 3-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+115
L 1-2 at Boavista+180
W 0-1 vs Estrela-105
Benfica
Money Line
L 0-5 at Porto+195
W 0-4 vs Portimonense-1100
W 1-6 vs FC Vizela-600
T 2-2 at Vitoria-175
W 0-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-725

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1200+880+800+925+942+925+942+974.2
Benfica-575-353-360-380-370-380-353-308.9
Draw+600+530+475+530+529+530+530+560.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1200----+850+850+974.2
Benfica-500-----350-350-308.9
Draw+625----+500+500+560.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +853 to +843
Benfica ML moved from -334 to -353

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1100 to +850
Benfica ML moved from -480 to -495

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118o3½+108o3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼-111o3¼-115o3¼-111o3¼-104
Underu3¼-102u3½-126u3¼-105u3¼-105u3¼-107u3¼-105u3½-126u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-104
Under-----u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-120 to u3¼-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.3%
 
No61.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.86%
Exactly 218.05%
Exactly 419.02%
Exactly 68.02%
Exactly 81.81%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.15%
Exactly 321.40%
Exactly 513.53%
Exactly 74.07%
Exactly 90.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 059.78%
Exactly 130.76%
Exactly 27.91%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.78%
Exactly 114.53%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 417.03%
Exactly 510.36%
Exactly 65.25%
Exactly 72.28%
Exactly 80.87%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.28%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 45.90%
Exactly 60.53%
 
Exactly 131.73%
Exactly 314.34%
Exactly 51.94%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 078.80%
Exactly 118.77%
Exactly 22.24%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 024.46%
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 44.01%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals0.71%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals69.28%
Wins by 3+ goals47.68%
Wins by 4+ goals28.16%
Wins by 5+ goals14.35%
Wins by 6+ goals6.35%
Wins by 7+ goals2.44%
Wins by 8+ goals0.78%
Wins by 9+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal2.96%
Wins by 2 goals0.61%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal17.50%
Wins by 2 goals21.59%
Wins by 3 goals19.52%
Wins by 4 goals13.81%
Wins by 5 goals8.00%
Wins by 6 goals3.91%
Wins by 7 goals1.65%
Wins by 8 goals0.61%
Wins by 9 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.14%2.86%
1.586.99%13.01%
2.568.94%31.06%
3.547.54%52.46%
4.528.51%71.49%
5.514.99%85.01%
6.56.97%93.03%
7.52.90%97.10%
8.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.22%59.78%
1.59.47%90.53%
2.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.22%4.78%
1.580.69%19.31%
2.558.60%41.40%
3.536.20%63.80%
4.519.17%80.83%
5.58.81%91.19%
6.53.56%96.44%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.72%19.28%
1.548.99%51.01%
2.522.87%77.13%
3.58.53%91.47%
4.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.86%
8.69%
13.21%
13.39%
10.18%
6.19%
1
1.47%
4.47%
6.80%
6.89%
5.24%
3.19%
2
0.38%
1.15%
1.75%
1.77%
1.35%
0.82%
Estoril
1-01.47%
2-00.38%
2-11.15%
Draw
0-02.86%
1-14.47%
2-21.75%
3-30.30%
Benfica
0-18.69%
0-213.21%
1-26.80%
0-313.39%
1-36.89%
2-31.77%
0-410.18%
1-45.24%
2-41.35%
3-40.23%
0-56.19%
1-53.19%
2-50.82%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Benfica
Score0123456
0
19.28%
27.14%
19.11%
8.97%
3.16%
0.89%
0.21%
1
4.59%
6.47%
4.55%
2.14%
0.75%
0.21%
0.05%
2
0.55%
0.77%
0.54%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Estoril
1-04.59%
2-00.55%
2-10.77%
Draw
0-019.28%
1-16.47%
2-20.54%
Benfica
0-127.14%
0-219.11%
1-24.55%
0-38.97%
1-32.14%
2-30.25%
0-43.16%
1-40.75%
0-50.89%
1-50.21%
0-60.21%
Sporting CP at Arouca
Chaves at Gil Vicente FC