Braga at Benfica

Updated

Braga

12.9%18.4%68.7%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.85Projected Goals 2.24
1Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 1-2 vs FC Vizela-410
W 1-0 at Estoril-140
L 3-0 vs Arouca-225
W 5-3 at Portimonense-240
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC-235
Benfica
Money Line
W 3-1 at SC Farense-300
W 0-3 vs Moreirense-325
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+240
W 0-1 vs Chaves-1000
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC-350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+420+415+390+420+425+420+425+461.2
Benfica-170-173-175-196-180-196-173-158.8
Draw+310+373+340+345+381+345+381+380.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+400----+410+410+461.2
Benfica-160-----185-185-158.8
Draw+325----+385+385+380.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +410 to +400
Benfica ML moved from -171 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +435 to +380
Benfica ML moved from -170 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o3½+104o3¼-108o3¼-118o3¼-117o3¼-118o3¼-108o3¼-107
Underu2¾-110u3½-122u3¼-112u3¼-102u3¼-101u3¼-102u3½-122u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-107
Under-----u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-116 to o3¼-105
The Under moved from u3¼-115 to u3-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.54%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 417.29%
Exactly 65.51%
Exactly 80.94%
 
Exactly 114.04%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.69%
Exactly 72.43%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 042.58%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.52%
Exactly 34.42%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 010.67%
Exactly 123.87%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 319.93%
Exactly 411.15%
Exactly 54.99%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 70.60%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.89%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.20%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 067.35%
Exactly 126.62%
Exactly 25.26%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 035.48%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals3.89%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals45.20%
Wins by 3+ goals24.61%
Wins by 4+ goals11.20%
Wins by 5+ goals4.32%
Wins by 6+ goals1.42%
Wins by 7+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Benfica
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Braga
Wins by 1 goal8.97%
Wins by 2 goals2.99%
Wins by 3 goals0.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.51%
Wins by 2 goals20.59%
Wins by 3 goals13.40%
Wins by 4 goals6.88%
Wins by 5 goals2.90%
Wins by 6 goals1.04%
Wins by 7 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.46%4.54%
1.581.42%18.58%
2.559.71%40.29%
3.537.34%62.66%
4.520.04%79.96%
5.59.35%90.65%
6.53.84%96.16%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.42%42.58%
1.521.07%78.93%
2.55.55%94.45%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.33%10.67%
1.565.46%34.54%
2.538.75%61.25%
3.518.82%81.18%
4.57.67%92.33%
5.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.11%23.89%
1.541.90%58.10%
2.517.42%82.58%
3.55.74%94.26%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Benfica
Score012345
0
4.54%
10.16%
11.37%
8.49%
4.75%
2.13%
1
3.88%
8.68%
9.71%
7.25%
4.05%
1.81%
2
1.66%
3.70%
4.15%
3.09%
1.73%
0.77%
3
0.47%
1.05%
1.18%
0.88%
0.49%
0.22%
4
0.10%
0.23%
0.25%
0.19%
0.11%
0.05%
Braga
1-03.88%
2-01.66%
2-13.70%
3-00.47%
3-11.05%
3-21.18%
4-00.10%
4-10.23%
4-20.25%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-04.54%
1-18.68%
2-24.15%
3-30.88%
4-40.11%
Benfica
0-110.16%
0-211.37%
1-29.71%
0-38.49%
1-37.25%
2-33.09%
0-44.75%
1-44.05%
2-41.73%
3-40.49%
0-52.13%
1-51.81%
2-50.77%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Benfica
Score012345
0
23.89%
24.76%
12.83%
4.43%
1.15%
0.24%
1
9.44%
9.79%
5.07%
1.75%
0.45%
0.09%
2
1.87%
1.93%
1.00%
0.35%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.25%
0.25%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-09.44%
2-01.87%
2-11.93%
3-00.25%
3-10.25%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-023.89%
1-19.79%
2-21.00%
Benfica
0-124.76%
0-212.83%
1-25.07%
0-34.43%
1-31.75%
2-30.35%
0-41.15%
1-40.45%
0-50.24%