Chaves at Braga

Updated

Chaves

6.0%12.8%81.2%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.60Projected Goals 2.67
1Final Score 0

Braga

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Estoril+120
L 0-1 at Portimonense+260
L 0-3 at Porto+1600
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+135
W 2-0 at Sporting CP+1500
Braga
Money Line
L 1-4 at Porto+330
W 0-2 vs FC Vizela-275
W 3-2 at Rio Ave-180
W 0-1 vs Vitoria-275
W 6-0 at Arouca-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+700+656+600+540+860+540+860+726.1
Braga-290-243-250-244-343-244-243-223.6
Draw+400+401+380+370+460+370+460+432.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+900----+660+660+726.1
Braga-350-----280-280-223.6
Draw+475----+450+450+432.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Braga: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 70.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +560 to +540
Braga ML moved from -263 to -270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Braga: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +810 to +660
No Steam Moves On Braga ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-116o3-110o3-112-o3-112o3-110o3-102
Underu3-125u3-102u3-110u3-108-u3-108u3-102u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-102
Under-----u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.0%
 
No58.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.79%
Exactly 220.30%
Exactly 418.12%
Exactly 66.47%
Exactly 81.24%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.41%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 511.86%
Exactly 73.02%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 054.85%
Exactly 132.94%
Exactly 29.89%
Exactly 31.98%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 06.91%
Exactly 118.47%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 414.68%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.98%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 44.83%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.30%
Exactly 312.74%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 075.72%
Exactly 121.06%
Exactly 22.93%
Exactly 30.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 029.02%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 39.16%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals1.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.21%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals60.38%
Wins by 3+ goals37.99%
Wins by 4+ goals20.25%
Wins by 5+ goals9.25%
Wins by 6+ goals3.65%
Wins by 7+ goals1.25%
Wins by 8+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal4.66%
Wins by 2 goals1.12%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal20.75%
Wins by 2 goals22.39%
Wins by 3 goals17.74%
Wins by 4 goals11.01%
Wins by 5 goals5.59%
Wins by 6 goals2.40%
Wins by 7 goals0.89%
Wins by 8 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.21%3.79%
1.583.80%16.20%
2.563.50%36.50%
3.541.36%58.64%
4.523.24%76.76%
5.511.38%88.62%
6.54.92%95.08%
7.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.15%54.85%
1.512.21%87.79%
2.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.09%6.91%
1.574.62%25.38%
2.549.95%50.05%
3.527.97%72.03%
4.513.29%86.71%
5.55.45%94.55%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.02%21.98%
1.544.72%55.28%
2.519.50%80.50%
3.56.76%93.24%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Braga
Score012345
0
3.79%
10.13%
13.53%
12.05%
8.05%
4.30%
1
2.28%
6.08%
8.13%
7.24%
4.84%
2.58%
2
0.68%
1.83%
2.44%
2.17%
1.45%
0.78%
3
0.14%
0.37%
0.49%
0.44%
0.29%
0.16%
Chaves
1-02.28%
2-00.68%
2-11.83%
3-00.14%
3-10.37%
3-20.49%
Draw
0-03.79%
1-16.08%
2-22.44%
3-30.44%
Braga
0-110.13%
0-213.53%
1-28.13%
0-312.05%
1-37.24%
2-32.17%
0-48.05%
1-44.84%
2-41.45%
3-40.29%
0-54.30%
1-52.58%
2-50.78%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Braga
Score0123456
0
21.98%
27.19%
16.82%
6.93%
2.14%
0.53%
0.11%
1
6.11%
7.56%
4.68%
1.93%
0.60%
0.15%
0.03%
2
0.85%
1.05%
0.65%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-06.11%
2-00.85%
2-11.05%
Draw
0-021.98%
1-17.56%
2-20.65%
Braga
0-127.19%
0-216.82%
1-24.68%
0-36.93%
1-31.93%
2-30.27%
0-42.14%
1-40.60%
0-50.53%
1-50.15%
0-60.11%