Nacional at Gil Vicente FC

Updated

Nacional

16.6%23.3%60.1%
WinDrawGil Vicente FC Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.74
1Final Score 2

Gil Vicente FC

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Santa Clara+180
L 1-2 at Vitoria+330
T 2-2 at AVS+165
W 1-3 vs Tondela+135
L 0-1 at Alverca+290
Gil Vicente FC
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sporting CP+610
T 2-2 at Arouca-110
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave-150
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+110
T 0-0 at Vitoria+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+410-+395+345+345+345+395+379.4
Gil Vicente FC-149--135-133-133-133-133-112.7
Draw+270-+250+255+255+255+255+282.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+445----+400+400+379.4
Gil Vicente FC-155-----135-135-112.7
Draw+285----+260+260+282.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Gil Vicente FC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 30.0%
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +345 to +330
Gil Vicente FC ML moved from -137 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Gil Vicente FC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 40.0%
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +445 to +400
No Steam Moves On Gil Vicente FC ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105-o2¼-115o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-115o2¼-107
Underu2½-125-u2¼-105u2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-107
Under-----u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.05%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 413.52%
Exactly 62.86%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.28%
Exactly 321.46%
Exactly 56.81%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 045.69%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.01%
Exactly 33.66%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Gil Vicente FC
Exactly 017.62%
Exactly 130.59%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 315.37%
Exactly 46.67%
Exactly 52.32%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.14%
Exactly 221.19%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.24%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 069.58%
Exactly 125.23%
Exactly 24.58%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gil Vicente FC
Exactly 044.76%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 214.46%
Exactly 33.88%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals4.87%
Wins by 3+ goals1.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Gil Vicente FC
Wins by 2+ goals34.16%
Wins by 3+ goals15.50%
Wins by 4+ goals5.74%
Wins by 5+ goals1.76%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Gil Vicente FC
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal11.68%
Wins by 2 goals3.80%
Wins by 3 goals0.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Gil Vicente FC
Wins by 1 goal25.90%
Wins by 2 goals18.66%
Wins by 3 goals9.76%
Wins by 4 goals3.98%
Wins by 5 goals1.32%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.95%8.05%
1.571.67%28.33%
2.546.12%53.88%
3.524.66%75.34%
4.511.14%88.86%
5.54.33%95.67%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.31%45.69%
1.518.52%81.48%
2.54.50%95.50%

Total Goals Gil Vicente FC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.38%17.62%
1.551.79%48.21%
2.525.24%74.76%
3.59.87%90.13%
4.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.86%31.14%
1.532.52%67.48%
2.511.33%88.67%
3.53.09%96.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Gil Vicente FC
Score012345
0
8.05%
13.98%
12.13%
7.02%
3.05%
1.06%
1
6.31%
10.95%
9.50%
5.50%
2.39%
0.83%
2
2.47%
4.29%
3.72%
2.15%
0.93%
0.32%
3
0.64%
1.12%
0.97%
0.56%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.13%
0.22%
0.19%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Nacional
1-06.31%
2-02.47%
2-14.29%
3-00.64%
3-11.12%
3-20.97%
4-00.13%
4-10.22%
4-20.19%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-08.05%
1-110.95%
2-23.72%
3-30.56%
Gil Vicente FC
0-113.98%
0-212.13%
1-29.50%
0-37.02%
1-35.50%
2-32.15%
0-43.05%
1-42.39%
2-40.93%
3-40.24%
0-51.06%
1-50.83%
2-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Gil Vicente FC
Score01234
0
31.14%
25.04%
10.06%
2.70%
0.54%
1
11.29%
9.08%
3.65%
0.98%
0.20%
2
2.05%
1.65%
0.66%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.25%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Nacional
1-011.29%
2-02.05%
2-11.65%
3-00.25%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-031.14%
1-19.08%
2-20.66%
Gil Vicente FC
0-125.04%
0-210.06%
1-23.65%
0-32.70%
1-30.98%
2-30.18%
0-40.54%
1-40.20%
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