Nacional at Sporting CP

Updated

Nacional

3.3%8.5%88.2%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.51Projected Goals 3.19
0Final Score 2

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 1-3 vs AVS+105
L 1-2 at Rio Ave+290
T 2-2 at Vitoria+600
L 2-0 vs Benfica
W 0-1 vs Moreirense+220
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 3-0 at Rio Ave-350
T 4-4 at Vitoria-110
W 0-1 vs Benfica+135
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC-295
W 2-3 vs Boavista-1000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+1600-+1200+1000+1211+1000+1211+1099.5
Sporting CP-800--600-588-692-588-588-362.4
Draw+725-+650+600+700+590+700+652.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+1515----+1175+1175+1099.5
Sporting CP-800-----600-600-362.4
Draw+885----+775+775+652.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 30.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Sporting CP ML moved from -661 to -710

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 20.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +1475 to +1175
Sporting CP ML moved from -700 to -785

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105-o3½-110o3½-109o3½-108o3½-109o3½-108o3½+101
Underu3½-115-u3½-110u3½-111u3½-112u3½-111u3½-110u3½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+101
Under-----u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.5%
 
No61.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.47%
Exactly 216.91%
Exactly 419.31%
Exactly 68.82%
Exactly 82.16%
Exactly 100.33%
 
Exactly 19.14%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 514.29%
Exactly 74.66%
Exactly 90.89%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 059.83%
Exactly 130.73%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 04.13%
Exactly 113.15%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 417.75%
Exactly 511.32%
Exactly 66.01%
Exactly 72.74%
Exactly 81.09%
Exactly 90.39%
Exactly 100.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.02%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 46.48%
Exactly 60.63%
 
Exactly 130.88%
Exactly 315.12%
Exactly 52.22%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 078.83%
Exactly 118.75%
Exactly 22.23%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 022.86%
Exactly 133.73%
Exactly 224.90%
Exactly 312.25%
Exactly 44.52%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals0.63%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals71.85%
Wins by 3+ goals50.89%
Wins by 4+ goals31.13%
Wins by 5+ goals16.51%
Wins by 6+ goals7.66%
Wins by 7+ goals3.13%
Wins by 8+ goals1.12%
Wins by 9+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Sporting CP
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal2.63%
Wins by 2 goals0.54%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal16.33%
Wins by 2 goals20.96%
Wins by 3 goals19.76%
Wins by 4 goals14.61%
Wins by 5 goals8.85%
Wins by 6 goals4.53%
Wins by 7 goals2.01%
Wins by 8 goals0.78%
Wins by 9 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.53%2.47%
1.588.39%11.61%
2.571.48%28.52%
3.550.61%49.39%
4.531.31%68.69%
5.517.01%82.99%
6.58.19%91.81%
7.53.53%96.47%
8.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.17%59.83%
1.59.44%90.56%
2.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.87%4.13%
1.582.72%17.28%
2.561.75%38.25%
3.539.48%60.52%
4.521.72%78.28%
5.510.40%89.60%
6.54.39%95.61%
7.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.98%18.02%
1.551.10%48.90%
2.524.64%75.36%
3.59.53%90.47%
4.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
2.47%
7.87%
12.54%
13.33%
10.62%
6.77%
1
1.27%
4.04%
6.44%
6.85%
5.46%
3.48%
2
0.33%
1.04%
1.65%
1.76%
1.40%
0.89%
Nacional
1-01.27%
2-00.33%
2-11.04%
Draw
0-02.47%
1-14.04%
2-21.65%
3-30.30%
Sporting CP
0-17.87%
0-212.54%
1-26.44%
0-313.33%
1-36.85%
2-31.76%
0-410.62%
1-45.46%
2-41.40%
3-40.24%
0-56.77%
1-53.48%
2-50.89%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
18.02%
26.59%
19.63%
9.66%
3.56%
1.05%
0.26%
1
4.29%
6.32%
4.67%
2.30%
0.85%
0.25%
0.06%
2
0.51%
0.75%
0.56%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Nacional
1-04.29%
2-00.51%
2-10.75%
Draw
0-018.02%
1-16.32%
2-20.56%
Sporting CP
0-126.59%
0-219.63%
1-24.67%
0-39.66%
1-32.30%
2-30.27%
0-43.56%
1-40.85%
2-40.10%
0-51.05%
1-50.25%
0-60.26%
Benfica at Casa Pia AC
Vitória at Estoril