Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+340
-115
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-132
u2½-120

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santa Clara
AVS		37.2%
33.4%		29.3%
+133
+278
+125
+280
2
1		-0.88370-0.86204-0.98752
Sporting CP
Porto		31.1%
41.0%		27.9%
+160
+188
+160
+185
1
1		-1.19333-1.19902-1.27658
Porto
Rio Ave		70.0%
11.0%		19.0%
-226
+644
-295
+775
2
2		-1.58890-1.70854-1.66099
Braga
Moreirense		50.4%
24.0%		25.6%
+142
+224
+105
+270
2
1		-0.90570-0.76873-0.68506
Benfica
Estrela		70.4%
11.5%		18.1%
-520
+1200
-500
+1200
3
2		-0.23177-0.23216-0.35055
SC Farense
Sporting CP		3.1%
88.0%		8.9%
+1562
-575
+1600
-725
1
3		-0.21204-0.17678-0.12825
AVS
Vitoria		9.1%
74.0%		16.9%
+521
-175
+540
-185
0
2		-0.50316-0.48023-0.30127
Estoril
Gil Vicente FC		21.9%
51.9%		26.3%
+292
+117
+295
+115
2
1		-1.40092-1.42404-1.52069
Casa Pia AC
Santa Clara		24.5%
48.8%		26.6%
+308
+114
+305
+110
1
2		-0.79720-0.79164-0.71674
Arouca
Nacional		31.8%
39.2%		29.0%
+223
+138
+220
+140
2
1		-1.21200-1.21362-1.14681
Famalicao
Boavista		47.3%
26.6%		26.1%
+112
+274
+120
+255
2
0		-0.79003-0.83605-0.74817
Gil Vicente FC
AVS		34.9%
35.0%		30.1%
+132
+240
+140
+225
0
1		-1.27543-1.22956-1.04954
Boavista
Braga		6.6%
80.2%		13.2%
+796
-335
+1050
-400
0
3		-0.31976-0.27278-0.22115
Santa Clara
Porto		5.9%
81.2%		12.9%
+481
-149
+535
-165
1
1		-1.35232-1.35751-2.04725
Vitoria
Estoril		55.3%
19.8%		24.9%
-113
+345
-120
+350
0
1		-1.52763-1.55225-1.61823
Nacional
Sporting CP		3.3%
88.2%		8.5%
+1211
-588
+1175
-600
0
2		-0.21149-0.20281-0.12536
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).