Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/19/2025 07:30 PM	Benfica Vitoria	60.5% 17.4%	22.1%	-184 +505 -170 +460	3 0	-0.47369-0.51341	-0.50281
04/19/2025 05:00 PM	Braga Estoril	56.7% 19.6%	23.7%	-130 +383 -130 +375	2 0	-0.61011-0.61906	-0.56725
04/19/2025 05:00 PM	Estrela Arouca	26.6% 45.1%	28.3%	+300 +111 +275 +110	0 1	-0.77783-0.79125	-0.79573
04/19/2025 02:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Nacional	27.0% 45.7%	27.3%	+208 +153 +210 +150	3 0	-1.16066-1.18061	-1.31085
04/19/2025 02:30 PM	Casa Pia AC AVS	35.5% 34.7%	29.7%	+147 +202 +150 +205	1 1	-1.19501-1.18061	-1.21258
04/18/2025 07:30 PM	Moreirense Sporting CP	5.9% 81.0%	13.0%	+1700 -554 +1775 -535	1 3	-0.20664-0.21986	-0.21018
04/18/2025 05:00 PM	Famalicao Porto	8.7% 76.0%	15.3%	+520 -188 +625 -230	1 2	-0.46506-0.41198	-0.27477
04/18/2025 02:30 PM	Boavista SC Farense	19.5% 55.7%	24.8%	+404 -130 +420 -140	1 0	-1.65947-1.70068	-1.63424
04/18/2025 02:30 PM	Santa Clara Rio Ave	34.5% 34.9%	30.6%	+107 +304 +115 +275	1 1	-1.22054-1.19548	-1.18469
04/13/2025 07:30 PM	Rio Ave Moreirense	19.2% 55.8%	25.1%	+249 +127 +235 +135	2 0	-1.28964-1.25956	-1.65250
04/13/2025 05:00 PM	AVS Braga	7.9% 77.3%	14.8%	+691 -217 +775 -280	1 4	-0.41023-0.35525	-0.25753
04/13/2025 05:00 PM	Arouca Benfica	4.0% 85.8%	10.2%	+2059 -799 +1900 -800	2 2	-2.29372-2.24602	-2.28681
04/13/2025 02:30 PM	SC Farense Estrela	20.9% 53.3%	25.8%	+198 +155 +190 +165	1 0	-1.13613-1.11355	-1.56681
04/12/2025 07:30 PM	Porto Casa Pia AC	60.2% 17.0%	22.8%	-154 +471 -150 +450	1 0	-0.53816-0.55818	-0.50775
04/12/2025 05:00 PM	Sporting CP Santa Clara	63.6% 15.1%	21.3%	-180 +612 -180 +570	1 0	-0.48078-0.49238	-0.45334
04/12/2025 02:30 PM	Nacional Boavista	38.4% 33.2%	28.4%	+135 +218 +145 +205	1 0	-0.90560-0.94348	-0.95750

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).