Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/12/2025 02:30 PM	Estoril Famalicao	17.1% 60.5%	22.4%	+301 +100 +310 -105	0 3	-0.72606-0.71803	-0.50198
04/11/2025 07:15 PM	Vitoria Gil Vicente FC	49.0% 24.3%	26.8%	+135 +272 +110 +280	1 0	-0.86126-0.79248	-0.71396
04/07/2025 07:45 PM	Braga Sporting CP	13.9% 66.4%	19.7%	+711 -273 +750 -280	1 1	-1.64517-1.67857	-1.62526
04/07/2025 07:15 PM	Boavista Rio Ave	17.7% 58.5%	23.8%	+294 +106 +310 -110	2 0	-1.39987-1.46305	-1.73415
04/07/2025 05:45 PM	Casa Pia AC SC Farense	34.0% 35.8%	30.2%	+226 +142 +215 +145	0 0	-1.18853-1.17847	-1.19730
04/06/2025 07:30 PM	Benfica Porto	36.0% 35.7%	28.3%	+123 +242 +130 +220	4 1	-0.83223-0.88201	-1.02290
04/06/2025 02:30 PM	Estrela Nacional	27.2% 45.7%	27.0%	+286 +109 +295 +105	1 0	-1.39042-1.42122	-1.30236
04/06/2025 02:30 PM	Moreirense Gil Vicente FC	35.4% 34.5%	30.1%	+227 +151 +235 +150	1 0	-1.22598-1.25716	-1.03914
04/05/2025 07:30 PM	Santa Clara Vitoria	18.0% 58.5%	23.6%	+351 +100 +350 +100	0 2	-0.73255-0.74202	-0.53661
04/05/2025 05:00 PM	Famalicao Arouca	34.2% 36.8%	29.0%	+168 +185 +180 +180	2 1	-1.02262-1.08152	-1.07227
04/04/2025 07:15 PM	Estoril AVS	26.7% 45.3%	28.0%	+138 +219 +145 +215	3 0	-0.91694-0.94317	-1.31882
04/02/2025 07:15 PM	SC Farense Benfica	3.4% 87.5%	9.1%	+1568 -646 +1700 -725	2 3	-0.18320-0.17860	-0.13304
04/01/2025 07:15 PM	Gil Vicente FC Boavista	33.3% 37.3%	29.3%	+144 +225 +140 +225	3 1	-0.93334-0.92637	-1.09910
03/30/2025 07:30 PM	Vitoria Moreirense	36.8% 33.8%	29.5%	+122 +276 +110 +280	2 2	-1.17189-1.21372	-1.22217
03/30/2025 05:00 PM	Porto Estoril	74.5% 8.9%	16.6%	-172 +522 -175 +510	2 1	-0.49240-0.50106	-0.29488
03/30/2025 02:30 PM	AVS Famalicao	14.7% 64.7%	20.6%	+426 -143 +460 -150	1 4	-0.58144-0.56203	-0.43595

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).