Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+355
-120
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-140
u2½-110

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
Casa Pia AC		69.7%
11.9%		18.4%
-258
+746
-280
+775
1
3		-2.17463-2.21889-2.13191
Rio Ave
SC Farense		31.0%
38.5%		30.5%
+215
+145
+235
+135
2
1		-1.18767-1.25956-1.17215
Estrela
Famalicao		22.5%
52.8%		24.7%
+409
-127
+385
-120
0
0		-1.30390-1.25787-1.39877
Moreirense
Arouca		36.0%
33.8%		30.2%
+228
+140
+215
+135
0
1		-0.91469-0.90387-1.08545
Casa Pia AC
Boavista		34.4%
36.3%		29.3%
+108
+300
+110
+305
3
2		-0.77851-0.79164-1.06746
Porto
Gil Vicente FC		66.9%
12.9%		20.1%
-215
+626
-220
+625
1
3		-2.02215-2.02997-2.04686
Braga
Estrela		53.0%
22.2%		24.7%
-133
+367
-120
+320
1
0		-0.60570-0.65514-0.63399
AVS
Nacional		24.1%
49.9%		25.9%
+311
+102
+320
+105
1
3		-0.75177-0.76520-0.69457
Arouca
Vitoria		13.3%
65.6%		21.1%
+428
-138
+500
-170
2
2		-1.34508-1.42205-1.55737
Sporting CP
Rio Ave		74.6%
8.7%		16.7%
-280
+755
-350
+825
3
0		-0.35666-0.30254-0.29338
Estoril
Santa Clara		15.5%
61.9%		22.5%
+517
-153
+475
-150
3
2		-1.85681-1.79963-1.86182
Famalicao
Benfica		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1097
-412
+1000
-400
0
4		-0.25673-0.27279-0.18672
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC		22.5%
50.4%		27.1%
+272
+117
+275
+115
1
1		-1.21100-1.19548-1.30619
Estoril
Estrela		17.1%
59.4%		23.5%
+238
+142
+235
+140
4
2		-1.25625-1.25632-1.76638
Famalicao
Casa Pia AC		36.6%
35.0%		28.4%
+294
+113
+295
+110
1
1		-1.19832-1.18202-1.25773
SC Farense
Santa Clara		16.5%
60.1%		23.4%
+554
-149
+560
-150
0
0		-1.25113-1.25776-1.45196
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).