Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Casa Pia AC		66.7%
13.2%		20.1%
-210
+615
-200
+535
3
1		-0.43606-0.45560-0.40533
Moreirense
Santa Clara		24.1%
49.3%		26.6%
+347
+107
+350
+100
1
1		-1.14022-1.16402-1.32407
Porto
Braga		37.3%
34.5%		28.2%
+126
+249
+110
+270
0
1		-1.28147-1.35662-1.06409
SC Farense
Estoril		24.5%
47.6%		27.9%
+210
+155
+240
+130
2
2		-1.16360-1.18159-1.27654
Nacional
Benfica		4.1%
86.2%		9.6%
+1198
-442
+1225
-500
0
3		-0.24321-0.23270-0.14829
Arouca
AVS		33.6%
36.2%		30.2%
+138
+219
+150
+210
1
0		-0.91599-0.96551-1.08969
Gil Vicente FC
Estrela		22.9%
50.7%		26.4%
+187
+180
+190
+175
1
1		-1.11158-1.12819-1.33325
Estoril
Sporting CP		3.4%
87.2%		9.3%
+849
-303
+925
-380
1
3		-0.32741-0.28167-0.13669
Braga
Rio Ave		59.3%
17.6%		23.1%
-103
+293
-120
+310
1
2		-1.39675-1.46218-1.73494
AVS
SC Farense		28.3%
42.9%		28.7%
+254
+131
+265
+125
1
0		-1.30137-1.34519-1.26188
Estrela
Moreirense		23.1%
50.8%		26.1%
+363
-104
+365
-110
1
1		-1.20071-1.21322-1.34151
Santa Clara
Boavista		43.6%
28.6%		27.8%
-125
+422
-130
+435
0
1		-1.69043-1.72648-1.25260
Casa Pia AC
Vitoria		17.0%
60.0%		23.0%
+386
-118
+410
-120
0
1		-0.65085-0.65420-0.51033
Porto
Arouca		65.1%
13.8%		21.1%
-168
+490
-155
+455
2
0		-0.50649-0.54775-0.42920
Famalicao
Nacional		37.7%
34.4%		27.9%
+178
+179
+165
+185
1
2		-1.06297-1.09688-1.06569
Vitoria
Porto		11.9%
69.0%		19.1%
+391
-120
+430
-140
1
1		-1.30140-1.32950-1.65585
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).