Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
74.6%
8.7%
16.7%
-280
+755
-350
+825
3
0
-0.35666-0.30254-0.29338
Estoril
Santa Clara
15.5%
61.9%
22.5%
+517
-153
+475
-150
3
2
-1.85681-1.79963-1.86182
Famalicao
Benfica
5.6%
83.0%
11.4%
+1097
-412
+1000
-400
0
4
-0.25673-0.27279-0.18672
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC
22.5%
50.4%
27.1%
+272
+117
+275
+115
1
1
-1.21100-1.19548-1.30619
Estoril
Estrela
17.1%
59.4%
23.5%
+238
+142
+235
+140
4
2
-1.25625-1.25632-1.76638
Famalicao
Casa Pia AC
36.6%
35.0%
28.4%
+294
+113
+295
+110
1
1
-1.19832-1.18202-1.25773
SC Farense
Santa Clara
16.5%
60.1%
23.4%
+554
-149
+560
-150
0
0
-1.25113-1.25776-1.45196
Arouca
Boavista
29.2%
42.1%
28.7%
+117
+288
+130
+260
3
1
-0.81011-0.88317-1.23182
Braga
Benfica
13.9%
66.9%
19.2%
+711
-282
+750
-300
2
1
-2.13149-2.18836-1.97314
AVS
Moreirense
11.9%
68.5%
19.5%
+351
-104
+390
-120
1
1
-1.21059-1.24514-1.63358
Sporting CP
Vitoria
54.6%
20.8%
24.6%
-103
+292
-110
+285
4
4
-1.32246-1.36074-1.40381
Santa Clara
Famalicao
24.5%
49.9%
25.6%
+174
+210
+160
+230
2
1
-1.04566-1.00550-1.40560
Benfica
Sporting CP
24.3%
50.6%
25.0%
+176
+157
+195
+135
0
1
-0.98115-0.90342-0.68088
Casa Pia AC
Braga
7.1%
78.9%
14.0%
+567
-197
+640
-230
2
1
-1.93628-2.04973-2.64058
Nacional
Rio Ave
22.5%
51.3%
26.1%
+284
+110
+290
+110
1
2
-0.78082-0.79078-0.66660
Vitoria
SC Farense
53.3%
21.0%
25.8%
-130
+423
-130
+400
2
2
-1.31457-1.30247-1.35662
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).