Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Boavista
Porto		3.9%
86.3%		9.8%
+1415
-600
+1550
-650
0
4		-0.21012-0.19259-0.14733
Moreirense
Estoril		47.9%
24.8%		27.3%
+185
+182
+170
+190
2
2		-1.14570-1.14602-1.29858
Estrela
AVS		34.6%
35.6%		29.7%
+233
+144
+255
+135
1
1		-1.12285-1.11544-1.21261
Gil Vicente FC
Arouca		30.2%
40.2%		29.7%
+262
+126
+260
+125
1
1		-1.17412-1.16402-1.21557
Rio Ave
Estrela		22.9%
50.3%		26.8%
+207
+140
+190
+150
0
1		-0.93265-0.96748-0.68810
Estoril
Benfica		3.2%
88.1%		8.6%
+2500
-777
+2475
-1150
0
3		-0.14521-0.13393-0.12673
Nacional
Vitoria		10.0%
73.0%		17.1%
+790
-253
+600
-230
2
2		-1.59529-1.60724-1.76855
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente FC		70.9%
10.8%		18.3%
-275
+729
-295
+700
0
0		-1.72177-1.75701-1.69701
Braga
Santa Clara		50.2%
24.2%		25.6%
+149
+227
+135
+235
2
0		-0.93392-0.90503-0.68995
Porto
Moreirense		56.7%
19.3%		24.0%
-210
+628
-205
+575
3
0		-0.42917-0.44626-0.56734
AVS
Boavista		25.0%
48.4%		26.6%
+227
+147
+235
+135
0
0		-1.16190-1.16575-1.32242
SC Farense
Famalicao		15.3%
63.1%		21.6%
+346
-101
+340
-105
2
1		-1.52092-1.53229-1.87804
Arouca
Casa Pia AC		27.6%
44.0%		28.4%
+250
+142
+215
+150
1
3		-0.91990-0.96582-0.82066
Benfica
Nacional		77.1%
8.2%		14.6%


2
0		-0.25961
Vitoria
Rio Ave		45.9%
26.1%		28.0%
-118
+367
-110
+340
2
2		-1.30339-1.25734-1.27297
Estrela
Porto		5.3%
82.5%		12.1%
+1747
-625
+1700
-710
0
2		-0.18659-0.18032-0.19244
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).