Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sporting CP
Braga 		49.3%
25.2%		25.5%
+103
+265
+105
+265
1.54
1.03		2.57
o2½-112
u2¾-138

Casa Pia AC
Estoril 		17.4%
59.6%		22.9%
+355
-135
+355
-135
0.84
1.79		2.63
o2½-120
u2¾-126

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
AVS
Alverca 		21.0%
52.4%		26.6%
+425
-141
+420
-150
2.28
o2½-113
u2½-105

1st H
36:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nacional
AVS		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+230
+111
+255
+115
1
1		-1.04725-1.06484
Rio Ave
Sporting CP		6.2%
80.0%		13.8%
+1869
-753
+1600
-800
1
3		-0.16385-0.16940-0.22354
Porto
Braga		37.3%
34.5%		28.2%
+113
+235
+110
+230
1
0		-0.79158-0.79025-0.98618
Chaves
Sporting CP		3.8%
86.5%		9.7%
+2800
-1363
+2100
-1500
0
3		-0.10412-0.11749-0.14470
Estoril
Moreirense		19.3%
56.0%		24.7%
+236
+125
+245
+120
1
2		-0.84565-0.83924-0.57918
Vitoria
Arouca		34.7%
35.0%		30.3%
+127
+213
+130
+195
3
1		-0.85320-0.88317-1.05814
FC Vizela
Boavista		22.0%
52.6%		25.4%
+337
+104
+255
+110
2
2		-1.21574-1.27447-1.37148
Portimonense
SC Farense		20.6%
52.5%		26.9%
+121
+196
+120
+180
3
1		-0.82608-0.83977-1.58163
Gil Vicente FC
Estrela		26.5%
45.8%		27.7%
+373
-142
+375
-145
0
1		-0.57492-0.57263-0.78036
Benfica
Rio Ave		67.6%
12.7%		19.7%
-243
+603
-245
+610
1
1		-1.71713-1.65921-1.62399
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		22.1%
53.4%		24.6%
+462
-173
+390
-150
2
1		-1.75962-1.63897-1.51172
Boavista
Porto		4.7%
84.1%		11.2%
+1712
-725
+1750
-800
1
2		-0.17673-0.16485-0.17304
Moreirense
Casa Pia AC		34.1%
36.3%		29.6%
+186
+169
+190
+165
1
0		-1.08607-1.11355-1.07482
Arouca
Benfica		5.1%
83.1%		11.8%
+843
-345
+810
-375
0
5		-0.28684-0.28602-0.18523
SC Farense
Gil Vicente FC		23.4%
49.2%		27.4%
+357
-134
+360
-135
0
2		-0.59167-0.60462-0.70952
Braga
Vitoria		37.9%
33.9%		28.2%
+121
+234
+120
+205
3
2		-0.82223-0.83637-0.97072
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55052 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.56136 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.54948
0.00104
0.01188

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).