Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 28 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
01/05/2024 08:45 PM	Porto Boavista	70.7% 11.1%	18.2%	-230 +650 -250 +660	1 1	-1.60152-1.63799	-1.70578
01/05/2024 06:45 PM	Estoril Sporting CP	5.1% 82.9%	12.0%	+1111 -390 +1000 -440	1 5	-0.25246-0.25727	-0.18698
12/30/2023 08:30 PM	Sporting CP Portimonense	72.9% 9.4%	17.7%	-347 +950 -350 +850	2 1	-0.28427-0.29982	-0.31571
12/30/2023 06:00 PM	Braga Casa Pia AC	53.3% 22.0%	24.7%	-177 +513 -180 +475	3 1	-0.47485-0.48998	-0.62955
12/30/2023 03:30 PM	SC Farense Estoril	18.7% 56.1%	25.2%	+304 -112 +290 -115	0 4	-0.67045-0.67548	-0.57793
12/30/2023 03:30 PM	Boavista Gil Vicente FC	24.0% 49.4%	26.6%	+225 +130 +250 +115	0 1	-0.86969-0.81362	-0.70500
12/29/2023 08:45 PM	Chaves Porto	4.1% 85.5%	10.4%	+1241 -435 +1200 -525	0 1	-0.22769-0.22338	-0.15688
12/29/2023 06:45 PM	Famalicao Benfica	4.1% 86.5%	9.3%	+1025 -352 +1050 -390	0 3	-0.27986-0.27930	-0.14451
12/28/2023 08:15 PM	Arouca Estrela	26.0% 46.0%	27.9%	+160 +189 +165 +175	4 1	-0.99404-1.02666	-1.34577
12/23/2023 03:30 PM	Moreirense FC Vizela	28.7% 43.1%	28.1%	+150 +218 +155 +190	0 0	-1.20058-1.21147	-1.26869
12/23/2023 03:30 PM	Rio Ave Vitoria	14.7% 63.0%	22.2%	+410 -135 +415 -145	0 1	-0.58745-0.57586	-0.46164
12/18/2023 08:15 PM	Porto Sporting CP	23.5% 51.1%	25.4%	+236 +128 +230 +125	0 2	-0.85156-0.86022	-0.67191
12/17/2023 08:30 PM	Benfica Braga	45.2% 28.7%	26.1%	+132 +196 +125 +200	1 0	-0.86979-0.86138	-0.79345
12/17/2023 06:00 PM	Estoril Famalicao	27.1% 46.0%	26.9%	+222 +135 +215 +135	1 1	-1.25980-1.22809	-1.31286
12/17/2023 03:30 PM	Casa Pia AC Chaves	34.1% 36.4%	29.5%	+189 +169 +190 +160	3 1	-1.09395-1.11541	-1.07699
12/17/2023 03:30 PM	Portimonense Moreirense	20.1% 54.0%	25.9%	+433 -141 +400 -145	2 5	-0.56794-0.57481	-0.61587

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).