Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+290
+110
+285
+105
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-120
u2½-129

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Portimonense
FC Vizela		22.5%
50.4%		27.1%
+370
-128
+355
-130
3
2		-1.58421-1.56552-1.49157
Porto
Benfica		20.8%
55.4%		23.7%
+325
-113
+305
-115
0
1		-0.66045-0.67647-0.58974
Braga
Estrela		58.8%
18.4%		22.8%
-140
+340
-140
+345
4
2		-0.58656-0.58965-0.53072
Rio Ave
Sporting CP		4.9%
83.2%		11.9%
+1531
-522
+1600
-625
0
2		-0.20689-0.19713-0.18381
Boavista
Braga		9.3%
74.7%		16.0%
+480
-195
+460
-190
1
4		-0.45282-0.47050-0.29232
Benfica
Portimonense		76.2%
8.1%		15.7%
-462
+1272
-475
+1025
3
1		-0.23306-0.24261-0.27127
Estrela
Chaves		27.5%
44.7%		27.7%
+172
+160
+170
+155
2
2		-1.27963-1.28942-1.28298
Gil Vicente FC
Porto		6.1%
80.5%		13.4%
+1017
-379
+1050
-450
1
2		-0.25555-0.25054-0.21645
Vitoria
Casa Pia AC		29.9%
41.8%		28.3%
+217
+150
+220
+140
0
0		-1.19073-1.18185-1.26199
FC Vizela
Estoril		24.3%
48.8%		26.9%
+178
+157
+180
+155
2
2		-1.28670-1.24493-1.31267
Arouca
Famalicao		20.6%
54.7%		24.6%
+276
+120
+265
+115
0
1		-0.80815-0.81577-0.60256
Chaves
Boavista		20.8%
54.3%		24.9%
+415
-135
+410
-145
1
4		-0.58900-0.57433-0.61107
Moreirense
Sporting CP		4.6%
84.4%		11.0%
+1113
-383
+1000
-430
0
3		-0.25744-0.25824-0.16988
Portimonense
Vitoria		17.4%
58.3%		24.3%
+550
-179
+500
-175
2
1		-1.90751-1.84049-1.74617
Estoril
Gil Vicente FC		24.6%
47.7%		27.7%
+285
+105
+280
+100
3
5		-0.74589-0.74482-0.74070
Casa Pia AC
Arouca		27.7%
44.4%		27.9%
+169
+182
+205
+145
1
0		-1.02767-1.16726-1.28497
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14010 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14335 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.22166
-0.08156
-0.07830

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).