Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+280
+122
+280
+110
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-120
u2¼+101

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Porto
Moreirense		68.7%
12.1%		19.2%
-243
+726
-275
+700
2
1		-0.35928-0.35782-0.37517
Estoril
Arouca		31.3%
39.0%		29.6%
+318
+110
+285
+105
3
4		-0.75754-0.76718-0.94115
Vitoria
Estrela		33.2%
37.9%		28.9%
+203
+150
+205
+145
1
0		-1.14930-1.16254-1.10163
Chaves
Rio Ave		20.1%
54.1%		25.7%
+340
-105
+320
-110
0
2		-0.69471-0.69709-0.61374
FC Vizela
Sporting CP		3.2%
88.6%		8.2%
+1344
-425
+1100
-500
2
3		-0.22788-0.23548-0.12158
Casa Pia AC
SC Farense		32.0%
38.1%		29.9%
+224
+147
+230
+140
3
0		-1.20221-1.24559-1.14087
Portimonense
Gil Vicente FC		21.0%
52.7%		26.4%
+342
-117
+335
-115
0
5		-0.65137-0.67495-0.64092
Famalicao
Braga		11.4%
71.4%		17.2%
+577
-185
+565
-220
2
1		-1.93282-1.94400-2.17516
Pacos
Braga		7.2%
78.3%		14.5%
+898
-350
+875
-400
0
3		-0.27153-0.27366-0.24469
Vitoria
Porto		7.8%
77.4%		14.8%
+1299
-473
+1185
-500
0
3		-0.20808-0.23208-0.25656
Arouca
Portimonense		30.6%
39.5%		30.0%
+125
+232
+120
+215
2
0		-0.82672-0.83704-1.18571
Santa Clara
Benfica		3.3%
88.3%		8.5%
+3199
-1396
+2300
-1720
0
3		-0.08616-0.10853-0.12497
Maritimo
Estoril		27.6%
43.1%		29.2%
+240
+119
+190
+140
1
3		-0.81202-0.92553-0.84063
Boavista
Chaves		30.6%
40.6%		28.9%
+223
+130
+180
+140
4
1		-1.18991-1.07993-1.18492
Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC		23.2%
50.6%		26.2%
+225
+136
+210
+120
0
1		-0.85746-0.83829-0.68195
Sporting CP
FC Vizela		63.5%
15.6%		20.9%
-202
+548
-210
+495
2
1		-0.43195-0.43985-0.45404
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14010 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14335 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.22166
-0.08156
-0.07830

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).