Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 28 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/27/2023 07:15 PM	Moreirense Arouca	29.1% 41.8%	29.1%	+191 +163 +190 +150	1 0	-1.09922-1.11590	-1.23371
10/08/2023 07:30 PM	Arouca Sporting CP	4.9% 83.3%	11.8%	+1508 -522 +1275 -525	1 2	-0.21296-0.22377	-0.18246
10/08/2023 05:00 PM	Portimonense Porto	4.7% 83.4%	11.9%	+1505 -552 +1500 -650	0 1	-0.20376-0.19225	-0.18131
10/08/2023 02:30 PM	Estrela Casa Pia AC	20.0% 55.3%	24.7%	+270 +110 +270 +105	1 0	-1.34811-1.35922	-1.60789
10/08/2023 02:30 PM	Vitoria Famalicao	28.3% 44.8%	26.9%	+173 +186 +170 +175	3 1	-1.04310-1.04344	-1.26199
10/07/2023 07:30 PM	Benfica Estoril	72.4% 10.3%	17.3%	-317 +850 -365 +800	1 0	-0.30058-0.29429	-0.32360
10/07/2023 05:00 PM	Rio Ave Braga	8.8% 74.9%	16.3%	+864 -313 +800 -310	1 2	-1.79132-1.73744	-1.81315
10/07/2023 02:30 PM	FC Vizela SC Farense	32.0% 38.3%	29.7%	+219 +131 +205 +130	0 0	-1.27397-1.28953	-1.21490
10/07/2023 02:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Chaves	34.5% 35.5%	30.1%	+156 +173 +155 +170	2 4	-1.03843-1.04432	-1.03693
10/06/2023 07:15 PM	Boavista Moreirense	26.2% 46.6%	27.1%	+310 -110 +295 -110	1 1	-1.33556-1.34442	-1.30490
10/02/2023 07:15 PM	Casa Pia AC Gil Vicente FC	25.3% 47.4%	27.3%	+202 +150 +210 +135	0 2	-0.95620-0.90429	-0.74655
10/01/2023 07:30 PM	Moreirense Rio Ave	24.8% 47.4%	27.7%	+179 +170 +180 +160	4 0	-1.06465-1.07790	-1.39304
10/01/2023 05:00 PM	Estoril Vitoria	21.7% 52.4%	25.8%	+355 -120 +330 -120	2 3	-0.63754-0.65682	-0.64598
10/01/2023 02:30 PM	Chaves Arouca	20.1% 54.5%	25.4%	+305 -101 +285 -105	2 0	-1.42933-1.40031	-1.60241
09/30/2023 07:30 PM	Sporting CP SC Farense	75.7% 8.2%	16.1%	-258 +711 -260 +650	3 2	-0.35632-0.37577	-0.27884
09/30/2023 05:00 PM	Famalicao Boavista	33.0% 39.1%	28.0%	+197 +150 +195 +145	2 2	-1.23289-1.24289	-1.27475

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).