Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+270
+118
+280
+110
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-120
u2¼+101

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
Rio Ave		29.0%
43.3%		27.7%
+127
+229
+130
+220
2
2		-1.28251-1.24299-1.28388
Benfica
Sporting CP		35.2%
36.6%		28.1%
+140
+200
+135
+200
2
2		-1.30225-1.28591-1.26908
Rio Ave
Pacos		32.0%
37.3%		30.7%
+204
+152
+200
+140
1
3		-0.94567-0.92712-0.98569
Estoril
Casa Pia AC		21.3%
53.0%		25.7%
+244
+132
+255
+120
2
2		-1.20551-1.21073-1.35705
Gil Vicente FC
Vitoria		21.8%
52.9%		25.3%
+364
-136
+340
-135
0
1		-0.57900-0.60475-0.63696
Porto
Famalicao		63.3%
16.0%		20.7%
-215
+630
-225
+620
4
2		-0.40285-0.41977-0.45697
Braga
Boavista		56.4%
19.7%		24.0%
-150
+405
-165
+410
1
1		-1.49593-1.50864-1.42908
Chaves
Arouca		17.3%
59.3%		23.4%
+285
+102
+225
+125
0
1		-0.73516-0.86034-0.52227
Portimonense
Santa Clara		28.6%
42.0%		29.4%
+364
-125
+255
+110
0
1		-0.61362-0.79264-0.86788
FC Vizela
Maritimo		31.2%
40.5%		28.3%
+399
-129
+360
-135
0
1		-0.60179-0.60462-0.90310
Arouca
Estoril		33.3%
36.6%		30.2%
+189
+171
+190
+160
0
2		-1.03089-1.00622-1.00619
Casa Pia AC
Porto		5.6%
82.0%		12.4%
+1440
-459
+1325
-530
1
2		-0.21577-0.22196-0.19807
Santa Clara
Braga		7.2%
78.6%		14.2%
+1160
-362
+1150
-415
3
5		-0.26659-0.26706-0.24071
Vitoria
Rio Ave		31.9%
38.5%		29.6%
+128
+250
+140
+210
1
0		-0.84586-0.92591-1.14338
Maritimo
Sporting CP		5.3%
82.0%		12.7%
+1720
-593
+1500
-600
1
2		-0.17546-0.20577-0.19828
Benfica
Portimonense		75.5%
8.4%		16.0%
-569
+1600
-485
+1200
5
1		-0.18854-0.23712-0.28048
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.09462 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07817 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.20220
-0.10757
-0.12402

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).