Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+270
+115
+280
+110
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-121
u2¼+102

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
FC Vizela		28.4%
45.9%		25.7%
+178
+173
+190
+150
0
0		-1.22254-1.22984-1.35763
Pacos
Chaves		27.5%
44.4%		28.1%
+247
+122
+250
+115
0
2		-0.82396-0.81362-0.81213
Boavista
Gil Vicente FC		21.0%
53.6%		25.4%
+189
+165
+185
+145
1
3		-0.99533-0.94788-0.62358
Porto
Arouca		63.6%
15.0%		21.4%
-256
+838
-290
+800
1
0		-0.35398-0.34579-0.45309
Chaves
Famalicao		16.2%
62.5%		21.3%
+381
-127
+370
-130
2
1		-1.59879-1.59820-1.82109
Sporting CP
Pacos		70.4%
10.9%		18.6%
-314
+972
-340
+875
4
0		-0.29553-0.30878-0.35079
FC Vizela
Vitoria		24.3%
50.6%		25.1%
+205
+150
+215
+135
0
3		-0.94407-0.90387-0.68061
Rio Ave
Maritimo		31.9%
37.0%		31.1%
+351
-105
+275
+105
2
2		-1.25351-1.26058-1.16832
Braga
Benfica		11.5%
71.0%		17.5%
+526
-180
+490
-185
0
1		-0.46928-0.48204-0.34255
Estoril
Boavista		23.4%
49.5%		27.1%
+241
+135
+265
+110
0
1		-0.88056-0.79376-0.70338
Gil Vicente FC
Santa Clara		34.4%
36.0%		29.6%
+206
+141
+165
+165
2
3		-0.90513-1.02641-1.02118
Portimonense
Casa Pia AC		23.4%
49.1%		27.5%
+296
+110
+280
+110
1
1		-1.23371-1.21372-1.29149
Famalicao
Sporting CP		7.0%
79.5%		13.4%
+1583
-490
+1400
-500
1
2		-0.21660-0.22429-0.22949
Boavista
Porto		5.0%
83.2%		11.7%
+1650
-500
+1500
-600
0
1		-0.20066-0.20577-0.18333
Santa Clara
Estoril		25.4%
47.1%		27.5%
+291
+120
+280
+110
0
3		-0.80352-0.79248-0.75194
Benfica
Gil Vicente FC		71.6%
10.8%		17.6%
-354
+1046
-305
+775
2
0		-0.27371-0.33320-0.33338
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.97128 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.94410 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-1.01035
-0.03907
-0.06625

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).