Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 29 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/16/2023 07:30 PM	Benfica FC Vizela	75.2% 9.3%	15.5%	-261 +702 -300 +700	2 1	-0.35505-0.33689	-0.28482
09/16/2023 05:00 PM	Braga SC Farense	60.8% 16.7%	22.5%	-133 +362 -145 +355	1 3	-1.56399-1.56638	-1.78880
09/16/2023 02:30 PM	Famalicao Rio Ave	31.9% 39.5%	28.6%	+200 +165 +200 +150	1 1	-1.17736-1.19696	-1.25068
09/15/2023 06:15 PM	Porto Estrela	72.1% 10.2%	17.7%	-190 +550 -195 +525	1 0	-0.46001-0.46362	-0.32748
09/09/2023 05:00 PM	Braga Moreirense	54.0% 21.5%	24.4%	+102 +280 +100 +265	3 2	-0.73118-0.74360	-0.61537
09/03/2023 07:30 PM	Sporting CP Braga	49.8% 24.8%	25.4%	+110 +241 +110 +230	1 1	-1.36708-1.35662	-1.36920
09/03/2023 05:00 PM	Arouca Porto	5.4% 82.1%	12.5%	+1405 -493 +1150 -430	1 1	-2.03157-1.88942	-2.08289
09/03/2023 02:30 PM	Boavista Estoril	24.1% 49.2%	26.7%	+185 +156 +165 +170	2 1	-1.09533-1.02407	-1.42470
09/03/2023 02:30 PM	Moreirense Chaves	31.2% 39.8%	29.0%	+147 +192 +150 +185	2 1	-0.93992-0.96451	-1.16587
09/02/2023 07:30 PM	Vitoria Benfica	5.3% 83.0%	11.6%	+1038 -362 +1000 -400	0 4	-0.27122-0.27279	-0.18575
09/02/2023 05:00 PM	SC Farense Famalicao	15.3% 63.1%	21.6%	+221 +138 +275 +105	0 1	-0.90123-0.76947	-0.46015
09/02/2023 05:00 PM	Estrela Portimonense	25.0% 46.9%	28.1%	+182 +155 +185 +160	1 1	-1.24254-1.21002	-1.27100
09/02/2023 02:30 PM	Rio Ave Casa Pia AC	24.1% 48.6%	27.3%	+282 +120 +260 +115	1 1	-1.21946-1.22799	-1.29744
09/01/2023 07:15 PM	Gil Vicente FC FC Vizela	29.0% 43.7%	27.3%	+245 +120 +235 +125	0 1	-0.81973-0.86034	-0.82869
08/28/2023 07:15 PM	Porto Rio Ave	66.6% 12.8%	20.6%	-233 +720 -210 +600	2 1	-0.39540-0.43841	-0.40687
08/27/2023 07:30 PM	Famalicao Sporting CP	5.0% 84.2%	10.8%	+1102 -398 +1050 -425	0 1	-0.25860-0.26042	-0.17163

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).