Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+260
+120
+265
+120
2.29
o2¼-120
u2¼+101

1st H
37:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Pacos
FC Vizela		19.0%
57.5%		23.4%
+340
-108
+335
-120
2
1		-1.50711-1.51827-1.65810
Casa Pia AC
Chaves		33.2%
37.5%		29.3%
+250
+132
+195
+155
0
1		-0.86850-0.98840-0.98035
Vitoria
Maritimo		32.9%
37.5%		29.6%
+217
+147
+200
+140
2
1		-1.17951-1.15031-1.11176
Portimonense
Braga		8.5%
75.2%		16.4%
+1100
-390
+1000
-400
1
4		-0.24913-0.27527-0.28558
Arouca
Rio Ave		24.5%
47.4%		28.0%
+236
+138
+225
+140
0
1		-0.89504-0.92637-0.74661
Sporting CP
Vitoria		60.4%
17.1%		22.5%
-229
+734
-250
+720
2
0		-0.38299-0.38649-0.50415
FC Vizela
Arouca		29.1%
43.8%		27.2%
+175
+188
+175
+170
0
1		-1.07993-1.04344-0.82663
Chaves
Santa Clara		24.3%
49.1%		26.6%
+187
+171
+190
+160
1
1		-1.20131-1.18215-1.32501
Estoril
Benfica		3.4%
87.8%		8.8%
+1957
-644
+1900
-900
0
1		-0.16791-0.15658-0.13020
Gil Vicente FC
Portimonense		30.8%
39.1%		30.1%
+179
+166
+185
+155
0
1		-1.00726-0.98556-0.93912
Porto
Pacos		71.9%
10.2%		17.8%
-446
+1492
-360
+1030
2
0		-0.22497-0.29514-0.32977
Rio Ave
Boavista		31.8%
38.0%		30.2%
+229
+147
+225
+135
2
3		-0.93412-0.90387-0.96866
Maritimo
Famalicao		19.6%
56.5%		23.9%
+338
-101
+265
+110
2
3		-0.70863-0.79376-0.57151
Braga
Casa Pia AC		53.3%
21.9%		24.8%
-152
+508
-165
+500
1
0		-0.52489-0.52492-0.62876
Boavista
FC Vizela		21.7%
53.7%		24.6%
+302
+110
+365
-120
1
1		-1.23846-1.28750-1.40238
Arouca
Sporting CP		5.8%
81.2%		13.0%
+1200
-416
+1100
-425
1
1		-1.98261-1.90421-2.04361
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).