Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arouca
Sporting CP		5.8%
81.2%		13.0%
+1200
-416
+1100
-425
1
1		-1.98261-1.90421-2.04361
Gil Vicente FC
Braga		10.8%
71.3%		17.9%
+883
-317
+790
-315
0
1		-0.29868-0.32755-0.33841
Casa Pia AC
Rio Ave		22.2%
51.0%		26.7%
+289
+121
+260
+120
1
1		-1.18061-1.19600-1.31976
Santa Clara
Porto		4.4%
84.9%		10.7%
+2391
-722
+1750
-700
1
2		-0.14168-0.18257-0.16315
Benfica
Chaves		80.1%
6.6%		13.3%
-375
+1195
-400
+1000
0
1		-2.57623-2.44750-2.71674
Portimonense
Estoril		28.0%
42.3%		29.7%
+231
+145
+245
+125
1
0		-1.22431-1.28880-1.27368
Pacos
Maritimo		23.3%
49.4%		27.2%
+256
+126
+250
+120
1
3		-0.84413-0.83986-0.70479
Vitoria
Famalicao		26.4%
48.0%		25.6%
+341
-102
+290
+105
1
2		-0.70629-0.76845-0.73401
Chaves
Gil Vicente FC		19.0%
56.7%		24.3%
+273
+115
+255
+115
0
0		-1.25702-1.24258-1.41642
Sporting CP
Casa Pia AC		62.3%
15.8%		21.9%
-247
+900
-260
+850
4
3		-0.35570-0.37392-0.47342
Estoril
Braga		7.4%
77.7%		14.8%
+1192
-362
+1000
-360
1
4		-0.27253-0.29440-0.25189
Famalicao
Pacos		36.2%
35.1%		28.7%
+176
+189
+180
+180
3
1		-1.04569-1.07614-1.01672
Rio Ave
Portimonense		31.3%
37.4%		31.2%
+207
+162
+205
+155
2
2		-1.16098-1.16190-1.16318
Maritimo
Arouca		23.7%
49.0%		27.3%
+245
+130
+250
+120
0
1		-0.86292-0.83986-0.71421
Vitoria
Boavista		30.2%
41.4%		28.4%
+209
+161
+195
+160
1
2		-0.98428-1.00570-0.88271
Porto
Benfica		19.5%
57.6%		22.8%
+363
-119
+330
-115
2
1		-1.55618-1.50657-1.63281
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31390 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34458 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30711
0.00679
0.03747

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).