Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Porto
Moreirense
68.7%
12.1%
19.2%
-243
+726
-275
+700
2
1
-0.35928-0.35782-0.37517
Estoril
Arouca
31.3%
39.0%
29.6%
+318
+110
+285
+105
3
4
-0.75754-0.76718-0.94115
Vitoria
Estrela
33.2%
37.9%
28.9%
+203
+150
+205
+145
1
0
-1.14930-1.16254-1.10163
Chaves
Rio Ave
20.1%
54.1%
25.7%
+340
-105
+320
-110
0
2
-0.69471-0.69709-0.61374
FC Vizela
Sporting CP
3.2%
88.6%
8.2%
+1344
-425
+1100
-500
2
3
-0.22788-0.23548-0.12158
Casa Pia AC
SC Farense
32.0%
38.1%
29.9%
+224
+147
+230
+140
3
0
-1.20221-1.24559-1.14087
Portimonense
Gil Vicente FC
21.0%
52.7%
26.4%
+342
-117
+335
-115
0
5
-0.65137-0.67495-0.64092
Famalicao
Braga
11.4%
71.4%
17.2%
+577
-185
+565
-220
2
1
-1.93282-1.94400-2.17516
Pacos
Braga
7.2%
78.3%
14.5%
+898
-350
+875
-400
0
3
-0.27153-0.27366-0.24469
Vitoria
Porto
7.8%
77.4%
14.8%
+1299
-473
+1185
-500
0
3
-0.20808-0.23208-0.25656
Arouca
Portimonense
30.6%
39.5%
30.0%
+125
+232
+120
+215
2
0
-0.82672-0.83704-1.18571
Santa Clara
Benfica
3.3%
88.3%
8.5%
+3199
-1396
+2300
-1720
0
3
-0.08616-0.10853-0.12497
Maritimo
Estoril
27.6%
43.1%
29.2%
+240
+119
+190
+140
1
3
-0.81202-0.92553-0.84063
Boavista
Chaves
30.6%
40.6%
28.9%
+223
+130
+180
+140
4
1
-1.18991-1.07993-1.18492
Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC
23.2%
50.6%
26.2%
+225
+136
+210
+120
0
1
-0.85746-0.83829-0.68195
Sporting CP
FC Vizela
63.5%
15.6%
20.9%
-202
+548
-210
+495
2
1
-0.43195-0.43985-0.45404
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).