Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
Pacos		79.5%
6.8%		13.7%
-510
+1851
-520
+1500
2
0		-0.19984-0.22620-0.22999
Chaves
Boavista		25.4%
47.5%		27.1%
+335
+105
+290
+110
1
1		-1.21443-1.19627-1.30398
Rio Ave
Famalicao		26.4%
46.6%		26.9%
+305
+118
+305
+105
0
0		-1.17025-1.19826-1.31193
Gil Vicente FC
Casa Pia AC		25.8%
46.8%		27.3%
+251
+134
+235
+130
3
1		-1.27816-1.25846-1.35290
Estoril
Maritimo		31.1%
38.6%		30.2%
+210
+170
+195
+160
0
1		-1.00663-1.00570-0.95088
Porto
Vitoria		68.1%
12.6%		19.2%
-320
+968
-320
+950
1
0		-0.31151-0.32021-0.38362
Benfica
Santa Clara		72.3%
10.5%		17.2%
-367
+1186
-400
+1100
3
0		-0.27135-0.27194-0.32385
Braga
Pacos		61.4%
16.3%		22.2%
-232
+703
-250
+720
2
1		-0.39341-0.38649-0.48696
FC Vizela
Sporting CP		4.5%
85.0%		10.4%
+1034
-323
+960
-360
1
2		-0.28800-0.29473-0.16217
Portimonense
Arouca		31.5%
38.2%		30.3%
+259
+125
+205
+145
0
4		-0.82791-0.94348-0.96168
Vitoria
Gil Vicente FC		31.6%
39.7%		28.6%
+211
+158
+205
+150
1
2		-0.97305-0.96551-0.92274
Casa Pia AC
Estoril		30.3%
40.5%		29.2%
+166
+211
+155
+205
0
2		-1.15550-1.16194-0.90434
Famalicao
Porto		6.8%
80.1%		13.1%
+1550
-470
+1400
-500
1
4		-0.22547-0.23256-0.22168
Sporting CP
Benfica		25.5%
48.9%		25.6%
+357
-115
+330
-120
2
2		-1.32403-1.34542-1.36242
Arouca
Chaves		24.5%
48.5%		27.0%
+215
+153
+215
+140
1
1		-1.22010-1.19773-1.31022
Boavista
Braga		9.3%
74.2%		16.5%
+943
-318
+870
-325
0
1		-0.30500-0.31669-0.29833
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31390 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34458 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30711
0.00679
0.03747

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).