Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Pacos
Rio Ave		23.2%
49.2%		27.5%
+282
+128
+345
-110
1
0		-1.34831-1.54318-1.45973
Maritimo
FC Vizela		18.4%
58.2%		23.4%
+378
-113
+330
-115
0
3		-0.64750-0.67749-0.54141
Santa Clara
Portimonense		25.0%
46.9%		28.0%
+285
+121
+275
+115
0
0		-1.19839-1.19548-1.27182
Gil Vicente FC
Boavista		30.0%
41.0%		28.9%
+216
+150
+205
+145
0
1		-0.93560-0.94348-0.89055
Sporting CP
Maritimo		77.5%
7.3%		15.2%
-263
+849
-275
+800
0
1		-2.28210-2.24460-2.61511
Chaves
Pacos		25.4%
47.2%		27.3%
+180
+176
+165
+180
1
1		-1.20976-1.19806-1.29693
Porto
Casa Pia AC		68.8%
12.1%		19.1%
-255
+806
-270
+785
0
0		-1.61325-1.61004-1.65627
Rio Ave
Vitoria		16.2%
60.6%		23.2%
+307
+112
+280
+110
0
0		-1.19264-1.21372-1.46227
Estoril
Arouca		31.4%
39.0%		29.6%
+232
+138
+225
+125
0
2		-0.89301-0.86034-0.94246
FC Vizela
Famalicao		24.4%
51.3%		24.3%
+193
+178
+200
+150
1
2		-1.04075-0.96582-0.66842
Portimonense
Benfica		4.7%
83.8%		11.5%
+1767
-544
+1700
-625
0
1		-0.18307-0.19898-0.17640
Braga
Santa Clara		47.3%
26.2%		26.5%
-168
+575
-185
+550
4
0		-0.48931-0.48375-0.74948
Benfica
Braga		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
-144
+406
-140
+350
0
3		-1.64693-1.55235-1.42495
Vitoria
FC Vizela		31.7%
41.1%		27.3%
+232
+144
+215
+140
0
3		-0.91717-0.92576-0.89035
Famalicao
Chaves		33.2%
38.8%		27.9%
+206
+169
+195
+155
2
0		-1.13931-1.12927-1.10208
Pacos
Sporting CP		3.9%
85.8%		10.3%
+1674
-602
+1600
-650
0
3		-0.17999-0.19385-0.15347
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31390 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34458 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30711
0.00679
0.03747

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).