Arouca at Vitória

Updated

Arouca

21.6%25.3%53.1%
Arouca WinDrawVitória Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.58
2Final Score 0

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Casa Pia AC+145
L 0-2 at Braga+640
W 0-1 vs Santa Clara+110
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+235
L 3-0 vs Benfica+950
Vitoria
Money Line
W 3-1 at Santa Clara+180
W 1-2 vs Braga+290
T 0-0 at Casa Pia AC+215
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-115
W 1-0 at Estoril+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+313+294+270+315+313+315+315+335.2
Vitória-102+109+110+100+110+100+110+109.7
Draw+242+224+210+225+222+225+225+240.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+285----+310+310+335.2
Vitória+105----+100+100+109.7
Draw+230----+230+230+240.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 10.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +270 to +260
Vitória ML moved from +100 to -100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +300 to +285
Vitória ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2-134o2¼+105o2¼+105o2½+142o2¼+105o2-134o2¼+114
Underu2½-147u2+114u2¼-125u2¼-125u2½-157u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.34%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 413.23%
Exactly 62.72%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.72%
Exactly 321.31%
Exactly 56.57%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 040.44%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.57%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 020.63%
Exactly 132.56%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 313.52%
Exactly 45.34%
Exactly 51.68%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.66%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 065.76%
Exactly 127.56%
Exactly 25.78%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 048.15%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 212.86%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals7.16%
Wins by 3+ goals1.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals27.91%
Wins by 3+ goals11.59%
Wins by 4+ goals3.87%
Wins by 5+ goals1.02%
Wins by 6+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Vitoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal14.40%
Wins by 2 goals5.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.11%
Wins by 2 goals16.32%
Wins by 3 goals7.72%
Wins by 4 goals2.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.84%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.66%8.34%
1.570.93%29.07%
2.545.20%54.80%
3.523.89%76.11%
4.510.67%89.33%
5.54.09%95.91%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.56%40.44%
1.522.95%77.05%
2.56.37%93.63%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.37%20.63%
1.546.81%53.19%
2.521.11%78.89%
3.57.59%92.41%
4.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.34%31.66%
1.531.92%68.08%
2.510.98%89.02%
3.52.96%97.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Vitoria
Score012345
0
8.34%
13.17%
10.39%
5.47%
2.16%
0.68%
1
7.55%
11.92%
9.41%
4.95%
1.95%
0.62%
2
3.42%
5.40%
4.26%
2.24%
0.88%
0.28%
3
1.03%
1.63%
1.29%
0.68%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.23%
0.37%
0.29%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Arouca
1-07.55%
2-03.42%
2-15.40%
3-01.03%
3-11.63%
3-21.29%
4-00.23%
4-10.37%
4-20.29%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.34%
1-111.92%
2-24.26%
3-30.68%
Vitoria
0-113.17%
0-210.39%
1-29.41%
0-35.47%
1-34.95%
2-32.24%
0-42.16%
1-41.95%
2-40.88%
3-40.27%
0-50.68%
1-50.62%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Vitoria
Score01234
0
31.66%
23.14%
8.46%
2.06%
0.38%
1
13.27%
9.70%
3.54%
0.86%
0.16%
2
2.78%
2.03%
0.74%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.39%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Arouca
1-013.27%
2-02.78%
2-12.03%
3-00.39%
3-10.28%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-031.66%
1-19.70%
2-20.74%
Vitoria
0-123.14%
0-28.46%
1-23.54%
0-32.06%
1-30.86%
2-30.18%
0-40.38%
1-40.16%