Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Casa Pia AC
Braga		8.3%
76.4%		15.4%
+742
-233
+650
-240
1
0		-2.15132-2.06349-2.49387
Boavista
Rio Ave		27.1%
44.0%		28.9%
+223
+146
+195
+160
0
1		-0.93029-1.00570-0.82030
Vitoria
Sporting CP		5.8%
81.7%		12.5%
+680
-228
+700
-250
0
3		-0.39193-0.38509-0.20242
Pacos
Porto		5.2%
82.6%		12.2%
+2598
-768
+2250
-900
0
4		-0.14632-0.15478-0.19151
Arouca
FC Vizela		23.4%
51.4%		25.2%
+302
+111
+305
+100
1
0		-1.40964-1.44745-1.45436
Portimonense
Gil Vicente FC		23.9%
48.5%		27.7%
+258
+126
+230
+120
2
1		-1.29117-1.24434-1.43322
Famalicao
Vitoria		23.1%
52.5%		24.4%
+284
+145
+215
+145
2
3		-0.86729-0.94317-0.64493
Braga
Gil Vicente FC		46.6%
26.7%		26.7%
-135
+475
-175
+450
1
0		-0.53507-0.50149-0.76316
Rio Ave
Casa Pia AC		24.5%
47.7%		27.8%
+292
+110
+310
-105
0
1		-0.77390-0.72650-0.74053
Estoril
Portimonense		24.2%
47.3%		28.4%
+214
+153
+205
+145
1
1		-1.19985-1.21053-1.25790
FC Vizela
Boavista		25.2%
48.8%		26.0%
+188
+180
+160
+180
2
2		-1.20128-1.22693-1.34734
Sporting CP
Arouca		78.0%
7.2%		14.7%
-128
+590
-165
+440
0
1		-1.86614-1.73682-2.62500
Chaves
Benfica		4.4%
85.3%		10.3%
+2001
-606
+2000
-925
0
5		-0.14959-0.15150-0.15888
Porto
Santa Clara		67.7%
12.7%		19.6%
-243
+989
-320
+960
1
1		-1.64124-1.68024-1.62893
Maritimo
Pacos		22.0%
51.3%		26.7%
+240
+136
+235
+125
1
0		-1.23998-1.25836-1.51463
Portimonense
Rio Ave		30.0%
39.1%		30.9%
+222
+147
+220
+135
0
1		-0.92705-0.90372-0.93872
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31390 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34458 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30711
0.00679
0.03747

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).