Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Boavista
Vitoria		17.3%
59.7%		23.0%
+250
+125
+275
+115
2
3		-0.87249-0.81353-0.51607
Gil Vicente FC
Chaves		33.6%
36.8%		29.6%
+175
+165
+170
+165
1
3		-1.01244-1.02407-1.00030
Santa Clara
FC Vizela		28.1%
45.0%		26.9%
+298
+105
+305
-105
1
0		-1.41560-1.45060-1.27097
Arouca
Maritimo		25.7%
46.1%		28.1%
+199
+150
+200
+145
1
1		-1.22428-1.22670-1.26833
Casa Pia AC
Sporting CP		3.8%
86.3%		9.9%
+721
-240
+800
-280
1
3		-0.38796-0.35610-0.14711
Braga
Estoril		53.8%
21.3%		24.9%
-160
+461
-155
+440
2
0		-0.52410-0.54611-0.62036
Pacos
Famalicao		20.3%
55.9%		23.8%
+345
-109
+390
-125
1
2		-0.69057-0.64014-0.58103
Benfica
Porto		29.7%
43.5%		26.8%
+218
+139
+215
+130
1
0		-1.19214-1.19690-1.21318
Famalicao
Arouca		43.1%
29.7%		27.2%
+165
+192
+170
+175
1
4		-1.10151-1.06178-1.21402
Chaves
Braga		6.0%
81.2%		12.8%
+860
-243
+660
-280
1
0		-2.25284-2.07712-2.80925
FC Vizela
Casa Pia AC		28.8%
44.2%		27.0%
+212
+150
+200
+150
1
0		-1.16658-1.14816-1.24528
Maritimo
Boavista		27.5%
43.9%		28.6%
+350
-109
+375
-130
1
1		-1.28183-1.33306-1.25075
Vitoria
Pacos		35.6%
34.8%		29.7%
+128
+249
+120
+240
1
0		-0.85193-0.83884-1.03384
Rio Ave
Benfica		5.1%
83.0%		11.9%
+1602
-490
+1500
-610
2
4		-0.20127-0.20125-0.18620
Porto
Portimonense		68.7%
11.6%		19.6%
-233
+770
-280
+775
2
0		-0.36776-0.35525-0.37472
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		72.2%
10.1%		17.6%
-200
+656
-200
+575
2
1		-0.42402-0.45703-0.32533
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31390 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34458 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30711
0.00679
0.03747

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).