Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estoril
Gil Vicente FC		20.7%
53.6%		25.7%
+233
+123
+245
+110
1
0		-1.23843-1.28880-1.57571
Casa Pia AC
Maritimo		18.3%
57.3%		24.4%
+151
+211
+140
+210
2
1		-0.94479-0.92591-1.70062
Boavista
Famalicao		20.0%
56.5%		23.5%
+278
+119
+295
+105
0
4		-0.80426-0.76992-0.57167
Arouca
Pacos		18.3%
57.4%		24.2%
+189
+160
+195
+150
1
1		-1.21409-1.21335-1.41679
Santa Clara
Rio Ave		25.9%
45.7%		28.3%
+230
+151
+230
+140
0
1		-0.94199-0.92712-0.78211
Benfica
Vitoria		62.3%
16.4%		21.3%
-297
+841
-330
+850
0
0		-1.72216-1.77278-1.54844
Estoril
Chaves		34.5%
35.3%		30.2%
+246
+125
+240
+120
1
1		-1.22974-1.24434-1.19587
Portimonense
FC Vizela		29.1%
42.7%		28.2%
+330
-107
+285
+100
0
1		-0.69135-0.74560-0.85139
Braga
Porto		16.8%
61.6%		21.6%
+310
-108
+330
-125
1
4		-0.67869-0.63779-0.48478
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting CP		5.3%
82.5%		12.2%
+899
-314
+875
-330
1
3		-0.31574-0.31522-0.19206
FC Vizela
Braga		8.0%
77.7%		14.3%
+651
-234
+700
-275
0
2		-0.39295-0.35956-0.25203
Famalicao
Casa Pia AC		34.8%
36.9%		28.3%
+236
+140
+225
+140
0
1		-0.91574-0.92637-0.99653
Maritimo
Benfica		4.1%
85.5%		10.4%
+2052
-753
+2100
-900
0
5		-0.16135-0.15483-0.15651
Vitoria
Arouca		53.6%
22.0%		24.4%
+162
+196
+150
+205
2
2		-1.17710-1.18061-1.41104
Sporting CP
Boavista		66.7%
12.9%		20.3%
-235
+650
-240
+675
1
2		-2.07036-2.09867-2.04570
Porto
Estoril		74.7%
8.8%		16.5%
-255
+783
-275
+800
1
1		-1.60779-1.62837-1.80351
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31390 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34458 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30711
0.00679
0.03747

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).