Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139
+200
+140
1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitoria
Portimonense		36.6%
33.3%		30.1%
+208
+149
+185
+160
1
2		-0.94660-1.00709-1.10109
Maritimo
Braga		7.6%
77.4%		15.1%
+1000
-355
+1000
-380
0
5		-0.28342-0.28169-0.25683
Boavista
Casa Pia AC		33.2%
37.2%		29.7%
+210
+155
+195
+160
0
2		-0.97474-1.00570-0.99002
Sporting CP
Porto		21.7%
53.6%		24.7%
+300
+105
+300
-105
0
3		-0.74108-0.71980-0.62390
FC Vizela
Chaves		27.3%
45.9%		26.7%
+205
+166
+215
+140
1
1		-1.18797-1.19773-1.31882
Arouca
Santa Clara		15.5%
63.1%		21.4%
+307
+105
+290
+105
2
1		-1.43431-1.41157-1.86285
Rio Ave
Estoril		24.3%
47.3%		28.4%
+278
+114
+260
+115
2
2		-1.22820-1.22799-1.25998
Portimonense
Pacos		27.9%
42.7%		29.4%
+194
+170
+195
+155
3
0		-1.10115-1.12927-1.27783
Gil Vicente FC
Arouca		44.2%
28.2%		27.5%
+155
+192
+150
+185
0
1		-1.10854-1.09982-1.26500
Chaves
Maritimo		26.2%
45.5%		28.3%
+266
+116
+260
+110
2
1		-1.32735-1.33207-1.33995
Estoril
Vitoria		14.6%
63.8%		21.6%
+282
+111
+310
+100
0
1		-0.78382-0.74345-0.44923
Porto
FC Vizela		77.4%
8.0%		14.6%
-283
+828
-330
+850
1
0		-0.33395-0.31319-0.25580
Santa Clara
Boavista		25.8%
46.6%		27.6%
+224
+150
+215
+150
1
2		-0.96391-0.96582-0.76398
Rio Ave
Sporting CP		4.6%
83.6%		11.9%
+1281
-442
+1500
-500
0
3		-0.24330-0.23081-0.17963
Benfica
Casa Pia AC		75.1%
9.1%		15.9%
-330
+1093
-400
+1150
1
0		-0.29225-0.27423-0.28695
Braga
Famalicao		50.7%
24.7%		24.5%
+110
+317
-105
+280
3
0		-0.72373-0.72081-0.67865
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).