Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139
+200
+140
1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Belenenses
Arouca		24.5%
48.1%		27.4%
+220
+115
+220
+120
0
0		-1.32663-1.31453-1.29408
Benfica
Pacos		68.1%
12.7%		19.2%
-110
+299
-115
+285
2
0		-0.67325-0.67865-0.38390
Famalicao
Belenenses		42.2%
29.3%		28.5%
+185
+172
+200
+145
3
2		-1.07321-1.15119-0.86192
Pacos
Santa Clara		26.4%
45.9%		27.6%
+370
-122
+355
-130
0
2		-0.62381-0.62092-0.77792
Arouca
Braga		5.6%
82.8%		11.6%
+464
-145
+450
-165
0
1		-0.54784-0.52101-0.18896
Maritimo
FC Vizela		24.1%
49.5%		26.5%
+396
-133
+340
-120
1
1		-1.39328-1.33018-1.32988
Tondela
Gil Vicente FC		11.3%
69.8%		18.9%
+364
-121
+345
-125
0
3		-0.62293-0.63709-0.35962
Sporting CP
Portimonense		63.0%
14.6%		22.4%
-267
+702
-300
+800
3
2		-0.34781-0.33798-0.46254
Porto
Benfica		31.0%
42.1%		26.9%
+141
+199
+135
+195
1
0		-0.90567-0.90342-1.17154
Moreirense
Estoril		23.1%
50.2%		26.7%
+232
+135
+230
+125
0
1		-0.88022-0.86022-0.68838
Vitoria
Boavista		27.8%
44.5%		27.7%
+132
+251
+120
+225
1
1		-1.20631-1.28913-1.28468
Tondela
Pacos		16.1%
61.8%		22.2%
+150
+223
+135
+220
1
1		-1.19581-1.21244-1.50666
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting CP		7.7%
76.9%		15.4%
+727
-252
+760
-290
1
4		-0.35598-0.34540-0.26256
Boavista
Moreirense		32.5%
37.7%		29.7%
+231
+141
+220
+140
2
1		-1.22608-1.21362-1.12338
Santa Clara
Vitoria		23.3%
51.0%		25.7%
+394
-127
+410
-135
1
1		-1.34792-1.31789-1.35759
Braga
Belenenses		66.6%
12.9%		20.5%
-110
+345
-115
+335
1
0		-0.67641-0.67495-0.40714
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).