Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-164
+430
-165
+440
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-120
u2½+100

Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Belenenses
Gil Vicente FC		19.9%
53.2%		26.9%
+556
-174
+560
-190
0
2		-0.48496-0.47221-0.63111
Benfica
Boavista		73.2%
9.8%		17.0%
-220
+636
-255
+700
2
2		-1.60316-1.61898-1.77313
Maritimo
Arouca		23.7%
52.0%		24.2%
+245
+133
+245
+125
3
0		-1.26848-1.28880-1.43771
Gil Vicente FC
FC Vizela		32.7%
38.0%		29.4%
+185
+161
+180
+160
1
0		-1.07338-1.07790-1.11856
Vitoria
Belenenses		32.4%
37.1%		30.5%
+105
+289
+105
+280
0
1		-1.38462-1.38326-0.99247
Moreirense
Famalicao		22.6%
57.3%		20.2%
+308
+114
+300
+110
0
5		-0.78539-0.78955-0.55724
Tondela
Estoril		13.2%
74.3%		12.5%
+324
-101
+300
-105
0
1		-0.70879-0.71980-0.29701
Boavista
Portimonense		23.4%
51.6%		25.0%
+226
+150
+210
+150
1
1		-1.19730-1.16437-1.38438
Santa Clara
Benfica		9.2%
83.5%		7.4%
+906
-303
+825
-325
1
2		-0.31125-0.31837-0.18077
Pacos
Braga		16.3%
69.9%		13.8%
+793
-250
+785
-265
1
2		-0.35932-0.36853-0.35750
Sporting CP
Porto		28.5%
45.5%		26.0%
+341
-108
+285
+105
2
2		-1.29015-1.24327-1.34607
Benfica
Tondela		73.5%
14.4%		12.1%
-275
+778
-330
+810
3
1		-0.33349-0.31467-0.30729
Famalicao
Sporting CP		14.9%
72.8%		12.3%
+1147
-310
+950
-350
0
2		-0.28884-0.30315-0.31784
Porto
Arouca		67.6%
17.0%		15.4%
-260
+776
-300
+850
2
0		-0.35662-0.33774-0.39172
FC Vizela
Boavista		26.9%
46.7%		26.4%
+222
+149
+200
+150
2
2		-1.20261-1.19696-1.33071
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente FC		27.2%
45.9%		27.0%
+300
+107
+310
+100
2
2		-1.25061-1.22895-1.31037
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).