Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139
+200
+140
1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Vizela
Porto		3.8%
87.1%		9.1%
+1882
-595
+1550
-600
2
4		-0.18567-0.20397-0.13816
Benfica
Maritimo		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-163
+455
-165
+460
1
0		-0.50988-0.52373-0.31637
Portimonense
Arouca		43.6%
28.2%		28.2%
+344
-112
+300
-105
0
1		-0.67193-0.71980-1.26606
Estoril
Famalicao		22.5%
52.5%		25.0%
+457
-140
+400
-145
1
3		-0.55490-0.57481-0.64373
Sporting CP
Boavista		66.5%
13.1%		20.4%
-224
+733
-240
+715
3
0		-0.39888-0.39787-0.40735
Porto
Braga		49.1%
25.5%		25.4%
-129
+390
-130
+360
0
1		-1.61737-1.57417-1.36739
Vitoria
Tondela		41.6%
30.6%		27.8%
+119
+253
-110
+295
1
1		-1.27393-1.34442-1.28060
Belenenses
Estoril		16.4%
58.9%		24.7%
+318
+110
+330
-105
2
2		-1.19720-1.22977-1.39691
Pacos
Gil Vicente FC		19.1%
56.0%		24.9%
+395
-132
+430
-145
1
1		-1.36465-1.34780-1.39179
Famalicao
Benfica		5.3%
83.9%		10.8%
+855
-273
+780
-300
0
0		-1.68190-1.71869-2.22377
Maritimo
Santa Clara		21.3%
52.4%		26.3%
+365
-105
+375
-110
2
2		-1.23015-1.19789-1.33716
Moreirense
Portimonense		17.8%
57.4%		24.8%
+222
+142
+210
+140
0
1		-0.90845-0.92591-0.55551
Arouca
FC Vizela		17.5%
60.8%		21.6%
+265
+116
+255
+110
1
2		-0.80495-0.79264-0.49679
Braga
Estoril		54.2%
21.2%		24.6%
+123
+246
+115
+245
0
0		-1.25061-1.26104-1.40051
Benfica
Sporting CP		26.2%
47.9%		25.9%
+307
-106
+295
-110
2
0		-1.42346-1.42341-1.34029
Portimonense
Porto		5.1%
82.5%		12.4%
+3049
-900
+2000
-800
0
7		-0.12705-0.16733-0.19254
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).