Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-164
+450
-165
+440
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-115
u2½+100

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Vitoria		46.8%
28.4%		24.7%
-103
+307
+110
+260
1
2		-1.42745-1.32791-1.25836
Portimonense
Pacos		34.7%
34.6%		30.8%
+233
+156
+220
+150
1
1		-1.14703-1.13202-1.17860
Estoril
Maritimo		60.0%
19.6%		20.4%
+221
+153
+210
+145
0
0		-1.18009-1.19448-1.58964
Sporting CP
Belenenses		66.4%
16.1%		17.5%
-385
+1295
-395
+1200
4
1		-0.25991-0.27776-0.40908
Gil Vicente FC
Benfica		10.1%
81.8%		8.1%
+657
-213
+620
-230
2
1		-2.05152-2.02155-2.29472
Boavista
Santa Clara		28.6%
43.2%		28.2%
+315
+105
+300
+110
1
2		-0.75366-0.78955-0.83961
Arouca
Famalicao		22.1%
58.2%		19.8%
+309
+107
+300
+110
0
0		-1.24105-1.17902-1.62151
Pacos
Estoril		15.4%
70.2%		14.4%
+311
+107
+300
+105
0
0		-1.22721-1.21224-1.93531
Maritimo
Porto		6.6%
87.0%		6.3%
+1456
-540
+1450
-600
1
2		-0.20329-0.20360-0.13885
Moreirense
Braga		16.2%
70.0%		13.9%
+741
-232
+750
-245
0
2		-0.38409-0.39109-0.35719
Tondela
Portimonense		20.6%
57.7%		21.7%
+251
+123
+240
+120
2
1		-1.28103-1.27418-1.58211
Vitoria
FC Vizela		32.8%
38.6%		28.7%
+168
+178
+160
+170
2
3		-1.04654-1.04120-0.95303
Arouca
Estoril		14.9%
71.1%		14.0%
+327
+101
+305
+100
2
1		-1.47294-1.44745-1.90421
Famalicao
Porto		14.4%
74.3%		11.3%
+1344
-455
+1300
-510
1
3		-0.22386-0.22818-0.29727
Portimonense
Gil Vicente FC		32.2%
37.3%		30.5%
+369
-120
+365
-125
0
1		-0.63256-0.63875-0.98701
Estoril
Vitoria		47.5%
27.1%		25.4%
+285
+114
+275
+110
1
3		-0.77590-0.79125-1.30593
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).