Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-164
+450
-165
+440
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-112
u2½+100

Games for Dec 18, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Belenenses
Maritimo		31.8%
36.2%		32.0%
+417
-115
+445
-135
1
1		-1.26256-1.27454-1.13865
Braga
Sporting CP		21.1%
60.3%		18.6%
+495
-153
+440
-165
2
1		-1.81217-1.73682-1.55751
FC Vizela
Tondela		30.4%
41.4%		28.2%
+168
+174
+165
+165
3
2		-1.01586-1.02223-1.19195
Santa Clara
Moreirense		29.5%
42.5%		28.0%
+229
+156
+225
+145
2
0		-1.21308-1.22666-1.22210
Boavista
Pacos		29.4%
42.8%		27.8%
+222
+163
+215
+160
1
1		-1.12467-1.09892-1.27952
Benfica
Arouca		70.1%
16.1%		13.7%
-345
+1287
-400
+1050
2
0		-0.26214-0.27538-0.35472
Vitoria
Portimonense		25.1%
49.8%		25.1%
+239
+130
+245
+115
1
1		-1.25362-1.26104-1.38143
Porto
Belenenses		68.1%
15.6%		16.3%
-375
+1300
-400
+1100
4
1		-0.25885-0.27194-0.38369
Pacos
Famalicao		22.7%
57.1%		20.3%
+316
+107
+305
+100
0
0		-1.22007-1.24268-1.59687
Sporting CP
FC Vizela		67.4%
16.8%		15.8%
-273
+843
-300
+850
2
0		-0.34226-0.33774-0.39501
Tondela
Santa Clara		25.5%
49.1%		25.5%
+434
-128
+400
-135
2
2		-1.30501-1.33184-1.36834
Maritimo
Braga		11.9%
77.7%		10.4%
+784
-275
+725
-275
1
0		-2.20982-2.15961-2.12830
Moreirense
Benfica		8.9%
84.3%		6.8%
+1460
-500
+1400
-600
1
1		-2.06239-2.12712-2.69001
Gil Vicente FC
Boavista		30.3%
40.6%		29.1%
+131
+249
+130
+240
1
1		-1.20541-1.18159-1.23502
Belenenses
Famalicao		20.4%
59.3%		20.2%
+650
-200
+620
-195
0
1		-0.44231-0.46267-0.52224
Vitoria
Gil Vicente FC		28.8%
44.0%		27.2%
+240
+125
+225
+125
2
3		-0.84395-0.86034-0.82082
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).