Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139
+200
+140
1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Vizela
Belenenses		37.2%
33.1%		29.8%
+125
+243
+100
+295
0
1		-1.27898-1.42412-1.10618
Boavista
Maritimo		31.3%
38.3%		30.4%
+266
+132
+235
+145
0
4		-0.85346-0.94631-0.95860
Pacos
Vitoria		23.7%
50.0%		26.3%
+415
-119
+380
-135
0
4		-0.61487-0.60602-0.69313
Gil Vicente FC
Famalicao		33.4%
38.2%		28.4%
+261
+116
+215
+135
2
2		-1.27608-1.22809-1.25917
Santa Clara
Arouca		39.8%
32.0%		28.2%
+235
+149
+215
+135
1
1		-1.15385-1.22809-1.26634
Braga
FC Vizela		55.5%
21.1%		23.4%
-140
+416
-140
+400
1
0		-0.56699-0.58780-0.58913
Porto
Vitoria		70.4%
11.4%		18.1%
-263
+707
-260
+625
1
0		-0.35206-0.37481-0.35078
Famalicao
Portimonense		23.7%
50.1%		26.2%
+183
+187
+160
+200
0
1		-1.08669-1.14863-0.69069
Estoril
Santa Clara		23.2%
50.1%		26.6%
+225
+154
+250
+130
0
2		-0.96309-0.88533-0.69061
Sporting CP
Tondela		78.2%
7.3%		14.5%
-315
+1000
-350
+1000
3
1		-0.30507-0.30059-0.24582
Arouca
Boavista		14.6%
64.3%		21.1%
+304
+119
+285
+105
0
1		-0.80526-0.78561-0.44222
Belenenses
Benfica		3.1%
88.1%		8.8%
+941
-321
+850
-310
1
3		-0.30081-0.31425-0.12669
Maritimo
Pacos		20.8%
52.8%		26.4%
+200
+178
+170
+190
0
2		-1.04316-1.11209-0.63902
Moreirense
Gil Vicente FC		14.5%
63.8%		21.8%
+440
-133
+380
-135
2
1		-1.70948-1.62035-1.93275
Santa Clara
Porto		4.3%
85.1%		10.5%
+1684
-539
+1400
-525
0
3		-0.20203-0.22269-0.16079
Pacos
Sporting CP		5.4%
81.9%		12.6%
+2024
-601
+1550
-600
0
2		-0.18731-0.20397-0.19922
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).