Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-164
+460
-165
+440
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-118
u2½+100

Games for Dec 18, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arouca
Belenenses		29.7%
40.7%		29.7%
+169
+207
+155
+200
1
2		-1.14256-1.14558-0.90012
Famalicao
Braga		22.8%
58.4%		18.8%
+486
-154
+480
-170
2
2		-1.43717-1.43700-1.67057
Pacos
Benfica		9.0%
84.4%		6.7%
+1530
-526
+1400
-525
0
2		-0.20521-0.22269-0.17009
Maritimo
Portimonense		17.9%
62.0%		20.1%
+295
+105
+265
+115
2
1		-1.41589-1.34504-1.72065
Tondela
Boavista		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+286
+115
+290
+100
1
1		-1.23141-1.27307-1.35747
Porto
Estoril		40.2%
32.0%		27.8%
-323
+989

3
2		-0.30629-0.91222
Moreirense
FC Vizela		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+236
+137
+225
+130
1
0		-1.23698-1.22762-1.18702
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		63.6%
18.3%		18.1%
-230
+672
-250
+800
2
3		-2.09330-2.24857-1.69560
Belenenses
FC Vizela		28.0%
43.5%		28.5%
+428
-123
+390
-130
0
2		-0.61739-0.62027-0.83321
Benfica
Porto		31.1%
42.8%		26.1%
+380
-124
+350
-130
1
3		-0.61345-0.61990-0.84821
Braga
Arouca		51.1%
25.9%		23.0%
-122
+389
-120
+370
6
0		-0.62775-0.65716-0.67078
Santa Clara
Pacos		29.4%
42.8%		27.8%
+200
+169
+195
+170
1
2		-1.01481-1.04044-0.84880
Portimonense
Sporting CP		13.5%
72.8%		13.7%
+1186
-345
+1150
-380
2
3		-0.28231-0.28263-0.31766
Boavista
Vitoria		27.5%
45.9%		26.6%
+470
-145
+455
-160
1
1		-1.37279-1.41165-1.32475
Estoril
Moreirense		50.7%
25.1%		24.2%
+154
+214
+180
+175
0
1		-1.16954-1.06430-1.38406
FC Vizela
Maritimo		33.1%
36.6%		30.3%
+170
+182
+160
+180
0
2		-1.06706-1.08246-1.00496
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).