Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139
+200
+140
1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitoria
Moreirense		34.7%
35.9%		29.4%
+135
+229
+115
+240
1
0		-0.87859-0.81744-1.05705
Tondela
Maritimo		20.3%
54.4%		25.2%
+272
+127
+280
+105
3
1		-1.33249-1.38758-1.59229
Boavista
Famalicao		24.0%
50.4%		25.6%
+426
-122
+410
-125
2
1		-1.69255-1.67815-1.34082
FC Vizela
Estoril		25.9%
47.3%		26.8%
+248
+125
+240
+120
2
1		-1.27093-1.27418-1.34996
Gil Vicente FC
Arouca		50.2%
23.8%		26.0%
+150
+211
+145
+200
1
2		-1.15623-1.14662-1.43443
Portimonense
Belenenses		43.4%
26.1%		30.4%
+145
+231
+125
+245
0
2		-1.22237-1.28880-1.34163
Benfica
Braga		43.4%
30.3%		26.3%
+170
+176
+135
+200
2
3		-1.03030-1.15024-1.19442
Porto
Boavista		70.4%
10.9%		18.7%
-271
+840
-265
+775
1
0		-0.35220-0.36976-0.35051
Braga
Portimonense		41.5%
30.1%		28.3%
-106
+331
-115
+340
2
1		-0.69003-0.67641-0.87933
Estoril
Benfica		12.8%
68.2%		19.0%
+877
-303
+850
-325
1
2		-0.32254-0.31875-0.38317
Maritimo
Gil Vicente FC		15.3%
61.4%		23.3%
+457
-141
+410
-140
1
1		-1.37212-1.35681-1.45805
Moreirense
Pacos		25.8%
47.0%		27.2%
+237
+150
+235
+130
1
2		-0.92357-0.88242-0.75496
Sporting CP
Vitoria		67.3%
12.9%		19.9%
-147
+415
-150
+400
3
1		-0.55396-0.55961-0.39628
Belenenses
Santa Clara		22.0%
50.1%		28.0%
+570
-180
+700
-225
0
0		-1.40834-1.49816-1.27457
Arouca
Tondela		29.5%
41.9%		28.7%
+195
+162
+180
+165
2
2		-1.19796-1.19806-1.24981
Famalicao
FC Vizela		41.9%
30.7%		27.4%
+155
+194
+160
+185
1
1		-1.23292-1.21002-1.29503
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).