Casa Pia AC at Moreirense

Updated

Casa Pia AC

25.4%27.0%47.5%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.41
4Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Braga+475
W 3-1 at Chaves+190
L 1-3 at Porto+1200
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-105
L 0-4 at Estoril+195
Moreirense
Money Line
T 0-0 at FC Vizela+155
W 2-5 vs Portimonense-145
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+120
T 0-0 vs Benfica+550
W 1-0 at Estrela+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+285+406+400+425+444+450+444+451.6
Moreirense+102-122-125-130-131-135-122-116.4
Draw+251+242+220+239+245+240+245+256.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+315----+500+500+451.6
Moreirense-105-----145-145-116.4
Draw+235----+245+245+256.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 20.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +420 to +400
Moreirense ML moved from -148 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 60.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +330 to +315
Moreirense ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2-143o2¼-102o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2-143o2¼+109
Underu2½-126u2+121u2¼-118u2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-118 to o2½+100
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2¼-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.46%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 412.19%
Exactly 62.26%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.31%
Exactly 320.67%
Exactly 55.75%
Exactly 70.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 038.66%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.46%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 024.47%
Exactly 134.45%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 44.00%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.56%
Exactly 220.00%
Exactly 41.99%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 064.40%
Exactly 128.34%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 052.11%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 211.07%
Exactly 32.40%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals8.86%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals23.04%
Wins by 3+ goals8.72%
Wins by 4+ goals2.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal16.51%
Wins by 2 goals6.52%
Wins by 3 goals1.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal24.45%
Wins by 2 goals14.32%
Wins by 3 goals6.08%
Wins by 4 goals2.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.54%9.46%
1.568.23%31.77%
2.541.93%58.07%
3.521.25%78.75%
4.59.07%90.93%
5.53.32%96.68%
6.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.34%38.66%
1.524.60%75.40%
2.57.14%92.86%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.53%24.47%
1.541.08%58.92%
2.516.83%83.17%
3.55.46%94.54%
4.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.44%33.56%
1.529.79%70.21%
2.59.79%90.21%
3.52.51%97.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Moreirense
Score012345
0
9.46%
13.32%
9.37%
4.40%
1.55%
0.44%
1
8.99%
12.66%
8.91%
4.18%
1.47%
0.41%
2
4.27%
6.01%
4.23%
1.99%
0.70%
0.20%
3
1.35%
1.91%
1.34%
0.63%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.32%
0.45%
0.32%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-08.99%
2-04.27%
2-16.01%
3-01.35%
3-11.91%
3-21.34%
4-00.32%
4-10.45%
4-20.32%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.46%
1-112.66%
2-24.23%
3-30.63%
Moreirense
0-113.32%
0-29.37%
1-28.91%
0-34.40%
1-34.18%
2-31.99%
0-41.55%
1-41.47%
2-40.70%
3-40.22%
0-50.44%
1-50.41%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Moreirense
Score01234
0
33.56%
21.87%
7.13%
1.55%
0.25%
1
14.77%
9.62%
3.14%
0.68%
0.11%
2
3.25%
2.12%
0.69%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.48%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-014.77%
2-03.25%
2-12.12%
3-00.48%
3-10.31%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.56%
1-19.62%
2-20.69%
Moreirense
0-121.87%
0-27.13%
1-23.14%
0-31.55%
1-30.68%
2-30.15%
0-40.25%
1-40.11%