Benfica at Arouca

Updated

Benfica

77.0%15.2%7.9%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.44Projected Goals 0.64
3Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Famalicao-390
W 1-0 at Braga+125
T 1-1 vs SC Farense-635
T 0-0 at Moreirense-215
W 1-2 vs Sporting CP+160
Arouca
Money Line
W 4-1 at Estrela+165
W 0-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-105
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+110
W 4-0 at Boavista+210
L 1-0 vs Braga+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-248-215-220-235-220-235-215-200.6
Arouca+676+591+525+685+617+685+685+725.1
Draw+403+371+340+350+366+350+371+373.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-220-----240-240-200.6
Arouca+585----+675+675+725.1
Draw+360----+365+365+373.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 20.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -232 to -239
Arouca ML moved from +550 to +525

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 20.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -230 to -240
Arouca ML moved from +585 to +500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-132o3+106o2¾-122o2¾-121o2¾-119o2¾-121o2¾-119o2¾-110
Underu2½+112u3-124u2¾+102u2¾+101u2¾+101u2¾+101u3-124u2¾+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-110
Under-----u2¾+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.58%
Exactly 221.78%
Exactly 417.25%
Exactly 65.46%
Exactly 80.93%
 
Exactly 114.13%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.63%
Exactly 72.41%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 08.73%
Exactly 121.28%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 412.86%
Exactly 56.27%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 052.52%
Exactly 133.82%
Exactly 210.89%
Exactly 32.34%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.00%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 44.15%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.25%
Exactly 311.63%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 032.33%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 074.22%
Exactly 122.13%
Exactly 23.30%
Exactly 30.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals54.30%
Wins by 3+ goals31.98%
Wins by 4+ goals15.80%
Wins by 5+ goals6.63%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.86%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal22.58%
Wins by 2 goals22.32%
Wins by 3 goals16.18%
Wins by 4 goals9.18%
Wins by 5 goals4.26%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal5.96%
Wins by 2 goals1.55%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.42%4.58%
1.581.29%18.71%
2.559.51%40.49%
3.537.13%62.87%
4.519.88%80.12%
5.59.25%90.75%
6.53.79%96.21%
7.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.27%8.73%
1.569.99%30.01%
2.544.04%55.96%
3.522.94%77.06%
4.510.08%89.92%
5.53.80%96.20%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.48%52.52%
1.513.66%86.34%
2.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.00%24.00%
1.541.75%58.25%
2.517.31%82.69%
3.55.69%94.31%
4.51.54%98.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Arouca
Score0123
0
4.58%
2.95%
0.95%
0.20%
1
11.18%
7.20%
2.32%
0.50%
2
13.63%
8.78%
2.83%
0.61%
3
11.08%
7.14%
2.30%
0.49%
4
6.75%
4.35%
1.40%
0.30%
5
3.29%
2.12%
0.68%
0.15%
Benfica
1-011.18%
2-013.63%
2-18.78%
3-011.08%
3-17.14%
3-22.30%
4-06.75%
4-14.35%
4-21.40%
4-30.30%
5-03.29%
5-12.12%
5-20.68%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-04.58%
1-17.20%
2-22.83%
3-30.49%
Arouca
0-12.95%
0-20.95%
1-22.32%
0-30.20%
1-30.50%
2-30.61%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Arouca
Score0123
0
24.00%
7.16%
1.07%
0.11%
1
27.09%
8.08%
1.20%
0.12%
2
15.30%
4.56%
0.68%
0.07%
3
5.76%
1.72%
0.26%
0.03%
4
1.62%
0.48%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Benfica
1-027.09%
2-015.30%
2-14.56%
3-05.76%
3-11.72%
3-20.26%
4-01.62%
4-10.48%
5-00.37%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-024.00%
1-18.08%
2-20.68%
Arouca
0-17.16%
0-21.07%
1-21.20%
0-30.11%
1-30.12%