Moreirense at Benfica

Updated

Moreirense

6.3%13.0%80.7%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.63Projected Goals 2.67
2Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Braga+270
L 0-1 at Arouca+215
T 0-0 vs SC Farense-105
T 1-1 vs AVS-120
T 2-2 at Estoril+170
Benfica
Money Line
W 3-2 at Estrela-500
L 1-3 at Casa Pia AC-280
W 0-4 vs Famalicao-400
L 2-1 vs Braga-300
L 0-1 at Sporting CP+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1300+1337+1200+1000+1158+1000+1337+1092.5
Benfica-550-498-500-550-545-550-498-355.6
Draw+550+626+550+580+564+580+626+637.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1365----+1275+1275+1092.5
Benfica-575-----510-510-355.6
Draw+660----+600+600+637.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 30.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Benfica ML moved from -500 to -550

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +1275 to +1250
No Steam Moves On Benfica ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-113o3-108o3-108o3-109o3-108o3-108o3+102
Underu3-112u3-104u3-112u3-112u3-111u3-112u3-104u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.70%
Exactly 220.11%
Exactly 418.21%
Exactly 66.60%
Exactly 81.28%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.20%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 512.01%
Exactly 73.11%
Exactly 90.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 053.52%
Exactly 133.46%
Exactly 210.46%
Exactly 32.18%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 06.91%
Exactly 118.47%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 414.68%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.73%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 44.92%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.17%
Exactly 312.88%
Exactly 51.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 074.87%
Exactly 121.67%
Exactly 23.14%
Exactly 30.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 029.02%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 39.16%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals1.45%
Wins by 3+ goals0.24%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals59.83%
Wins by 3+ goals37.56%
Wins by 4+ goals19.99%
Wins by 5+ goals9.11%
Wins by 6+ goals3.59%
Wins by 7+ goals1.23%
Wins by 8+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal4.86%
Wins by 2 goals1.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal20.78%
Wins by 2 goals22.27%
Wins by 3 goals17.57%
Wins by 4 goals10.88%
Wins by 5 goals5.52%
Wins by 6 goals2.36%
Wins by 7 goals0.88%
Wins by 8 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.30%3.70%
1.584.10%15.90%
2.564.00%36.00%
3.541.90%58.10%
4.523.69%76.31%
5.511.68%88.32%
6.55.08%94.92%
7.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.48%53.52%
1.513.03%86.97%
2.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.09%6.91%
1.574.62%25.38%
2.549.94%50.06%
3.527.97%72.03%
4.513.29%86.71%
5.55.45%94.55%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.27%21.73%
1.545.10%54.90%
2.519.78%80.22%
3.56.90%93.10%
4.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.70%
9.88%
13.20%
11.76%
7.86%
4.20%
1
2.31%
6.18%
8.25%
7.35%
4.91%
2.62%
2
0.72%
1.93%
2.58%
2.30%
1.53%
0.82%
3
0.15%
0.40%
0.54%
0.48%
0.32%
0.17%
Moreirense
1-02.31%
2-00.72%
2-11.93%
3-00.15%
3-10.40%
3-20.54%
Draw
0-03.70%
1-16.18%
2-22.58%
3-30.48%
Benfica
0-19.88%
0-213.20%
1-28.25%
0-311.76%
1-37.35%
2-32.30%
0-47.86%
1-44.91%
2-41.53%
3-40.32%
0-54.20%
1-52.62%
2-50.82%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Benfica
Score0123456
0
21.73%
26.88%
16.63%
6.86%
2.12%
0.52%
0.11%
1
6.29%
7.78%
4.81%
1.98%
0.61%
0.15%
0.03%
2
0.91%
1.13%
0.70%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-06.29%
2-00.91%
2-11.13%
Draw
0-021.73%
1-17.78%
2-20.70%
Benfica
0-126.88%
0-216.63%
1-24.81%
0-36.86%
1-31.98%
2-30.29%
0-42.12%
1-40.61%
0-50.52%
1-50.15%
0-60.11%