Santa Clara at Estoril

Updated

Santa Clara

25.4%27.5%47.1%
Santa Clara WinDrawEstoril Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.37
0Final Score 3

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Santa Clara
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Chaves+160
L 1-2 at Porto+1750
L 1-0 vs FC Vizela+265
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+2250
L 2-0 vs Rio Ave+160
Estoril
Money Line
L 0-1 at Benfica+1900
L 1-0 vs Portimonense+125
L 1-4 at Braga+1000
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+175
L 2-0 vs Chaves+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santa Clara+360+276+250+285+291+285+291+303.6
Estoril-120+115+120+110+115+110+120+120.2
Draw+225+223+205+220+228+220+228+235.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santa Clara+235----+280+280+303.6
Estoril+125----+110+110+120.2
Draw+225----+220+220+235.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santa Clara: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santa Clara: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Santa Clara ML moved from +250 to +235
Estoril ML moved from +125 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santa Clara: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santa Clara: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santa Clara ML
Estoril ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-132o2-130o2¼+105o2-125o2¼+105o2-125o2¼+114
Underu2+102u2+112u2+110u2¼-125u2+110u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-139 to o2½+118
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.04%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 411.68%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.08%
Exactly 320.32%
Exactly 55.37%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Santa Clara
Exactly 039.58%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 217.00%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 025.36%
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 310.91%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.50%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santa Clara
Exactly 065.11%
Exactly 127.94%
Exactly 26.00%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 052.98%
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 210.69%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Santa Clara
Wins by 2+ goals8.71%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals22.51%
Wins by 3+ goals8.36%
Wins by 4+ goals2.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Santa Clara
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Santa Clara
Wins by 1 goal16.61%
Wins by 2 goals6.45%
Wins by 3 goals1.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.59%
Wins by 2 goals14.14%
Wins by 3 goals5.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.96%10.04%
1.566.89%33.11%
2.540.36%59.64%
3.520.04%79.96%
4.58.36%91.64%
5.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals Santa Clara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.42%39.58%
1.523.74%76.26%
2.56.74%93.26%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.64%25.36%
1.539.84%60.16%
2.515.98%84.02%
3.55.06%94.94%
4.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.50%34.50%
1.528.79%71.21%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Santa Clara
Estoril
Score012345
0
10.04%
13.77%
9.45%
4.32%
1.48%
0.41%
1
9.30%
12.76%
8.76%
4.00%
1.37%
0.38%
2
4.31%
5.92%
4.06%
1.86%
0.64%
0.17%
3
1.33%
1.83%
1.25%
0.57%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.31%
0.42%
0.29%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Santa Clara
1-09.30%
2-04.31%
2-15.92%
3-01.33%
3-11.83%
3-21.25%
4-00.31%
4-10.42%
4-20.29%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.04%
1-112.76%
2-24.06%
3-30.57%
Estoril
0-113.77%
0-29.45%
1-28.76%
0-34.32%
1-34.00%
2-31.86%
0-41.48%
1-41.37%
2-40.64%
3-40.20%
0-50.41%
1-50.38%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Santa Clara
Estoril
Score01234
0
34.50%
21.91%
6.96%
1.47%
0.23%
1
14.80%
9.40%
2.99%
0.63%
0.10%
2
3.18%
2.02%
0.64%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.45%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Santa Clara
1-014.80%
2-03.18%
2-12.02%
3-00.45%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-034.50%
1-19.40%
2-20.64%
Estoril
0-121.91%
0-26.96%
1-22.99%
0-31.47%
1-30.63%
2-30.14%
0-40.23%
1-40.10%