Samara at Sochi

Updated

Samara

36.3%26.6%37.1%
Samara WinDrawSochi Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.29
1Final Score 2

Sochi

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
T 1-1 vs CSKA Moscow
T 2-2 vs Akhmat Grozny
L 1-2 at Zenit
T 0-0 vs Rubin Kazan
L 0-3 at Nizhny Novgorod
Sochi
Money Line
W 1-0 at Rostov
W 1-0 at CSKA Moscow
L 1-0 vs Rubin Kazan
L 0-4 at Baltika
L 2-1 vs Krasnodar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+180--+162-+162+162+177.9
Sochi+158--+166-+166+166+182.1
Draw+200--+230-+230+230+250.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+177.9
Sochi-----+182.1
Draw-----+250.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sochi: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 0.0%
Sochi: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 0.0%
Sochi: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +162 to +152
Sochi ML moved from +180 to +166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115--o2¼-126-o2¼-126o2¼-126o2¼-115
Underu2½-135--u2¼+106-u2¼+106u2¼+106u2¼+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-115
Under-----u2¼+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-138 to o2¾+116
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%
 
No47.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.65%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 413.92%
Exactly 63.06%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.66%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 57.15%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 027.91%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 39.67%
Exactly 43.08%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Sochi
Exactly 027.40%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 39.91%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.42%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 055.39%
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 29.67%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sochi
Exactly 054.92%
Exactly 132.91%
Exactly 29.86%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals15.87%
Wins by 3+ goals5.42%
Wins by 4+ goals1.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Sochi
Wins by 2+ goals16.44%
Wins by 3+ goals5.69%
Wins by 4+ goals1.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Sochi
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Samara
Wins by 1 goal20.37%
Wins by 2 goals10.45%
Wins by 3 goals3.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Sochi
Wins by 1 goal20.67%
Wins by 2 goals10.75%
Wins by 3 goals4.11%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.35%7.65%
1.572.69%27.31%
2.547.41%52.59%
3.525.76%74.24%
4.511.84%88.16%
5.54.69%95.31%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.09%27.91%
1.536.47%63.53%
2.513.74%86.26%
3.54.07%95.93%

Total Goals Sochi Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.60%27.40%
1.537.12%62.88%
2.514.16%85.84%
3.54.25%95.75%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.58%30.42%
1.533.38%66.62%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Sochi
Score012345
0
7.65%
9.90%
6.41%
2.77%
0.89%
0.23%
1
9.76%
12.64%
8.18%
3.53%
1.14%
0.30%
2
6.23%
8.06%
5.22%
2.25%
0.73%
0.19%
3
2.65%
3.43%
2.22%
0.96%
0.31%
0.08%
4
0.85%
1.09%
0.71%
0.31%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.22%
0.28%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Samara
1-09.76%
2-06.23%
2-18.06%
3-02.65%
3-13.43%
3-22.22%
4-00.85%
4-11.09%
4-20.71%
4-30.31%
5-00.22%
5-10.28%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-07.65%
1-112.64%
2-25.22%
3-30.96%
Sochi
0-19.90%
0-26.41%
1-28.18%
0-32.77%
1-33.53%
2-32.25%
0-40.89%
1-41.14%
2-40.73%
3-40.31%
0-50.23%
1-50.30%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Sochi
Score01234
0
30.42%
18.23%
5.46%
1.09%
0.16%
1
17.97%
10.77%
3.23%
0.64%
0.10%
2
5.31%
3.18%
0.95%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.05%
0.63%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Samara
1-017.97%
2-05.31%
2-13.18%
3-01.05%
3-10.63%
3-20.19%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-030.42%
1-110.77%
2-20.95%
Sochi
0-118.23%
0-25.46%
1-23.23%
0-31.09%
1-30.64%
2-30.19%
0-40.16%