Samara at Nizhny Novgorod

Updated

Samara

33.8%30.6%35.6%
Samara WinDrawNizhny Novgorod Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.03
0Final Score 3

Nizhny Novgorod

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
W 0-2 vs FC Dynamo Makhachkala
L 0-4 at Dynamo Mosc
L 0-2 at Baltika
L 0-5 at Krasnodar
W 0-2 vs Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sochi
L 1-2 at Loko Moscow
W 1-0 at FC Dynamo Makhachkala
W 2-1 at FK Akron Tolyatti
L 2-0 vs Zenit

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+216--+229-+233+233+254.8
Nizhny Novgorod+128--+126-+126+126+140.8
Draw+217--+213-+210+210+230.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+254.8
Nizhny Novgorod-----+140.8
Draw-----+230.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 30.0%
Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 0.0%
Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +231 to +222
Nizhny Novgorod ML moved from +133 to +126

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102--o2¼+103-o2¼+103o2¼+103o2¼+112
Underu2¼-118--u2¼-123-u2¼-123u2¼-123u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.5%
 
No59.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.20%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.25%
Exactly 61.26%
 
Exactly 126.73%
Exactly 318.27%
Exactly 53.75%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 036.98%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.30%
Exactly 36.07%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 035.69%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.94%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.16%
Exactly 217.21%
Exactly 41.26%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 35.38%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 063.09%
Exactly 129.06%
Exactly 26.69%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 062.07%
Exactly 129.60%
Exactly 27.06%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals12.60%
Wins by 3+ goals3.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 2+ goals13.68%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Nizhny Novgorod
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Samara
Wins by 1 goal21.11%
Wins by 2 goals9.07%
Wins by 3 goals2.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 1 goal21.86%
Wins by 2 goals9.72%
Wins by 3 goals3.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.80%13.20%
1.560.07%39.93%
2.533.01%66.99%
3.514.74%85.26%
4.55.49%94.51%
5.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.02%36.98%
1.526.24%73.76%
2.57.94%92.06%
3.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Nizhny Novgorod Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.31%35.69%
1.527.54%72.46%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.84%39.16%
1.524.13%75.87%
2.56.92%93.08%
3.51.54%98.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Nizhny Novgorod
Score012345
0
13.20%
13.60%
7.00%
2.41%
0.62%
0.13%
1
13.13%
13.53%
6.97%
2.39%
0.62%
0.13%
2
6.53%
6.73%
3.47%
1.19%
0.31%
0.06%
3
2.17%
2.23%
1.15%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.54%
0.55%
0.29%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Samara
1-013.13%
2-06.53%
2-16.73%
3-02.17%
3-12.23%
3-21.15%
4-00.54%
4-10.55%
4-20.29%
Draw
0-013.20%
1-113.53%
2-23.47%
3-30.39%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-113.60%
0-27.00%
1-26.97%
0-32.41%
1-32.39%
2-31.19%
0-40.62%
1-40.62%
2-40.31%
3-40.10%
0-50.13%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Nizhny Novgorod
Score0123
0
39.16%
18.68%
4.45%
0.71%
1
18.04%
8.60%
2.05%
0.33%
2
4.15%
1.98%
0.47%
0.08%
3
0.64%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
Samara
1-018.04%
2-04.15%
2-11.98%
3-00.64%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-039.16%
1-18.60%
2-20.47%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-118.68%
0-24.45%
1-22.05%
0-30.71%
1-30.33%