Orenburg at Samara

Updated

Orenburg

21.3%24.6%54.1%
Orenburg WinDrawSamara Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.64
0Final Score 2

Samara

Last 5 Games

Orenburg
Money Line
W 1-2 vs FC Dynamo Makhachkala
L 2-0 vs CSKA Moscow
W 2-1 at Nizhny Novgorod
L 1-5 at Dynamo Mosc
W 0-1 vs Fakel Voronezh
Samara
Money Line
T 1-1 at CSKA Moscow
W 3-1 at FC Khimki
T 1-1 vs Rubin Kazan
W 1-5 vs Loko Moscow
L 0-4 at FC Dynamo Makhachkala

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orenburg+250+339-+265-+265+339+297.6
Samara-110-129--125--125-125-104.1
Draw+240+294-+285-+285+294+319.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orenburg-----+297.6
Samara------104.1
Draw-----+319.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orenburg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orenburg: 0.0%
Samara: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orenburg: 40.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orenburg ML moved from +281 to +274
Samara ML moved from -120 to -128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-103o3+106-o2¾-125-o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-114
Underu2¾-117u3-127-u2¾+105-u2¾+105u3-127u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-114
Under-----u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-146 to o3-101
The Under moved from u2¾+114 to u2½+126

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.70%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 413.86%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.75%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 57.11%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Orenburg
Exactly 039.60%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.99%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 019.45%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.23%
Exactly 45.82%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.52%
Exactly 221.49%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.50%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Orenburg
Exactly 065.13%
Exactly 127.93%
Exactly 25.99%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 046.86%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.46%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Orenburg
Wins by 2+ goals7.14%
Wins by 3+ goals1.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals29.13%
Wins by 3+ goals12.49%
Wins by 4+ goals4.37%
Wins by 5+ goals1.27%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Orenburg
Samara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Orenburg
Wins by 1 goal14.10%
Wins by 2 goals5.32%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal24.92%
Wins by 2 goals16.64%
Wins by 3 goals8.12%
Wins by 4 goals3.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.97%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.30%7.70%
1.572.55%27.45%
2.547.24%52.76%
3.525.61%74.39%
4.511.75%88.25%
5.54.64%95.36%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Orenburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.40%39.60%
1.523.71%76.29%
2.56.72%93.28%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.55%19.45%
1.548.70%51.30%
2.522.63%77.37%
3.58.40%91.60%
4.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.48%30.52%
1.533.26%66.74%
2.511.77%88.23%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Orenburg
Samara
Score012345
0
7.70%
12.61%
10.33%
5.63%
2.31%
0.76%
1
7.14%
11.68%
9.56%
5.22%
2.14%
0.70%
2
3.30%
5.41%
4.43%
2.42%
0.99%
0.32%
3
1.02%
1.67%
1.37%
0.75%
0.31%
0.10%
4
0.24%
0.39%
0.32%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Orenburg
1-07.14%
2-03.30%
2-15.41%
3-01.02%
3-11.67%
3-21.37%
4-00.24%
4-10.39%
4-20.32%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.70%
1-111.68%
2-24.43%
3-30.75%
Samara
0-112.61%
0-210.33%
1-29.56%
0-35.63%
1-35.22%
2-32.42%
0-42.31%
1-42.14%
2-40.99%
3-40.31%
0-50.76%
1-50.70%
2-50.32%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Orenburg
Samara
Score01234
0
30.52%
23.13%
8.77%
2.22%
0.42%
1
13.09%
9.92%
3.76%
0.95%
0.18%
2
2.81%
2.13%
0.81%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.40%
0.30%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Orenburg
1-013.09%
2-02.81%
2-12.13%
3-00.40%
3-10.30%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.52%
1-19.92%
2-20.81%
Samara
0-123.13%
0-28.77%
1-23.76%
0-32.22%
1-30.95%
2-30.20%
0-40.42%
1-40.18%