Krasnodar at Samara

Updated

Krasnodar

38.5%28.3%33.2%
Krasnodar WinDrawSamara Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.10
0Final Score 0

Samara

Last 5 Games

Krasnodar
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Zenit
W 4-3 at Nizhny Novgorod
T 1-1 at Loko Moscow
L 1-2 at Rostov
T 1-1 vs Rubin Kazan
Samara
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Rubin Kazan
W 2-1 at Ural
T 1-1 vs Zenit
L 2-0 vs CSKA Moscow
L 0-2 at Rostov

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Krasnodar+154+122-+126-+126+126+144.0
Samara+174+239-+188-+188+239+210.9
Draw+254+238-+245-+245+245+272.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Krasnodar-----+144.0
Samara-----+210.9
Draw-----+272.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Krasnodar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Krasnodar: 0.0%
Samara: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Krasnodar: 0.0%
Samara: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Krasnodar ML moved from +125 to +119
Samara ML moved from +249 to +239

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o2½-121-o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-109
Underu2½-102u2½+103-u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+103u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.94%
Exactly 226.49%
Exactly 411.76%
Exactly 62.09%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.95%
Exactly 320.38%
Exactly 55.43%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Krasnodar
Exactly 029.90%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 033.26%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.35%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 41.87%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Krasnodar
Exactly 057.18%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 28.93%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 060.07%
Exactly 130.61%
Exactly 27.80%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Krasnodar
Wins by 2+ goals16.51%
Wins by 3+ goals5.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals13.12%
Wins by 3+ goals3.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Krasnodar
Samara
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Krasnodar
Wins by 1 goal21.96%
Wins by 2 goals11.04%
Wins by 3 goals4.03%
Wins by 4 goals1.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal20.02%
Wins by 2 goals9.18%
Wins by 3 goals3.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.06%9.94%
1.567.10%32.90%
2.540.61%59.39%
3.520.23%79.77%
4.58.47%91.53%
5.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Krasnodar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.10%29.90%
1.534.01%65.99%
2.512.21%87.79%
3.53.44%96.56%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.74%33.26%
1.530.12%69.88%
2.59.97%90.03%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.65%34.35%
1.528.95%71.05%
2.59.34%90.66%
3.52.35%97.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Krasnodar
Samara
Score012345
0
9.94%
10.95%
6.02%
2.21%
0.61%
0.13%
1
12.01%
13.22%
7.27%
2.67%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.25%
7.98%
4.39%
1.61%
0.44%
0.10%
3
2.92%
3.21%
1.77%
0.65%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.88%
0.97%
0.53%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.21%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Krasnodar
1-012.01%
2-07.25%
2-17.98%
3-02.92%
3-13.21%
3-21.77%
4-00.88%
4-10.97%
4-20.53%
4-30.20%
5-00.21%
5-10.23%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.94%
1-113.22%
2-24.39%
3-30.65%
Samara
0-110.95%
0-26.02%
1-27.27%
0-32.21%
1-32.67%
2-31.61%
0-40.61%
1-40.73%
2-40.44%
3-40.18%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Krasnodar
Samara
Score0123
0
34.35%
17.50%
4.46%
0.76%
1
19.20%
9.79%
2.49%
0.42%
2
5.37%
2.74%
0.70%
0.12%
3
1.00%
0.51%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Krasnodar
1-019.20%
2-05.37%
2-12.74%
3-01.00%
3-10.51%
3-20.13%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-034.35%
1-19.79%
2-20.70%
Samara
0-117.50%
0-24.46%
1-22.49%
0-30.76%
1-30.42%
2-30.12%