Sevilla at Real Madrid

Updated

Sevilla

21.5%20.7%57.8%
Sevilla WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.72Projected Goals 1.95
1Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Alaves-225
W 2-0 at Betis+160
W 0-2 vs Osasuna-195
T 1-1 at Mallorca-115
W 3-5 vs Levante-210
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 4-1 at Granada-240
W 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-260
W 2-1 at Elche-220
T 0-0 vs Osasuna-360
W 2-1 at Barcelona+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+330+360+425+434+373+425+434+431.5
Real Madrid-120-135-145-137-146-145-135-125.0
Draw+280+270+295+286+293+295+295+290.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+365---+350+400+400+431.5
Real Madrid-145----180-140-140-125.0
Draw+310---+275+275+275+290.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +390 to +360
Real Madrid ML moved from -155 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +410 to +400
Real Madrid ML moved from -160 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2¾-105o2¾-106o2½-121-o2¾-106o2½-121o2¾+112
Underu2¾-122u2¾-115u2¾-114u2½+106-u2¾-114u2¾-114u2¾-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-125--o2½-125o2½-125o2½-125o2¾+112
Underu2½+105u2½+105--u2½-105u2½+105u2½+105u2¾-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.90%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 414.69%
Exactly 63.50%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.45%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.86%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 048.44%
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 212.73%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 014.24%
Exactly 127.76%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.57%
Exactly 48.56%
Exactly 53.34%
Exactly 61.08%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.00%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.17%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 071.49%
Exactly 123.99%
Exactly 24.03%
Exactly 30.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 040.56%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.51%
Exactly 34.97%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals3.49%
Wins by 3+ goals0.67%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals40.72%
Wins by 3+ goals20.25%
Wins by 4+ goals8.28%
Wins by 5+ goals2.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.78%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal9.46%
Wins by 2 goals2.82%
Wins by 3 goals0.59%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.46%
Wins by 2 goals20.47%
Wins by 3 goals11.98%
Wins by 4 goals5.47%
Wins by 5 goals2.04%
Wins by 6 goals0.63%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.10%6.90%
1.574.65%25.35%
2.549.99%50.01%
3.528.01%71.99%
4.513.32%86.68%
5.55.46%94.54%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.56%48.44%
1.516.45%83.55%
2.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.76%14.24%
1.558.00%42.00%
2.530.95%69.05%
3.513.38%86.62%
4.54.82%95.18%
5.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.00%29.00%
1.535.10%64.90%
2.512.88%87.12%
3.53.72%96.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
6.90%
13.45%
13.10%
8.51%
4.15%
1.62%
1
5.00%
9.75%
9.50%
6.17%
3.01%
1.17%
2
1.81%
3.53%
3.44%
2.24%
1.09%
0.42%
3
0.44%
0.85%
0.83%
0.54%
0.26%
0.10%
Sevilla
1-05.00%
2-01.81%
2-13.53%
3-00.44%
3-10.85%
3-20.83%
Draw
0-06.90%
1-19.75%
2-23.44%
3-30.54%
Real Madrid
0-113.45%
0-213.10%
1-29.50%
0-38.51%
1-36.17%
2-32.24%
0-44.15%
1-43.01%
2-41.09%
3-40.26%
0-51.62%
1-51.17%
2-50.42%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
29.00%
26.17%
11.80%
3.55%
0.80%
0.14%
1
9.73%
8.78%
3.96%
1.19%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.63%
1.47%
0.66%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-09.73%
2-01.63%
2-11.47%
3-00.18%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-029.00%
1-18.78%
2-20.66%
Real Madrid
0-126.17%
0-211.80%
1-23.96%
0-33.55%
1-31.19%
2-30.20%
0-40.80%
1-40.27%
0-50.14%