Villarreal at Almería

Updated

Villarreal

52.6%24.6%22.9%
Villarreal WinDrawAlmería Win
1.64Projected Goals 1.00
2Final Score 0

Almeria

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Getafe-145
L 2-4 at Mallorca+155
L 1-0 vs Barcelona+360
L 1-3 at Elche-150
L 1-0 vs Rayo Vallecano-125
Almeria
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Barcelona+575
L 2-6 at Girona+350
L 3-2 vs Betis+195
L 0-2 at Rayo Vallecano+345
W 1-3 vs Espanyol+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+113+124+115+120+121+120+121+127.6
Almería+238+224+240+240+238+240+240+251.7
Draw+264+250+245+250+249+250+250+262.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+110---+100+120+120+127.6
Almería+235---+200+225+225+251.7
Draw+260---+240+245+245+262.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +118 to +110
Almería ML moved from +223 to +217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
No Steam Moves On Almería ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-122o2½-118o2½-122o2½-118o2½-122o2½-118o2½-111
Underu2½+115u2½+104u2½-102u2½+102u2½+103u2½+102u2½+104u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-135--o2½-130o2½-120o2½-120o2½-111
Underu2½+115u2½+115--u2½+100u2½+100u2½+115u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.13%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 414.45%
Exactly 63.36%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.83%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.63%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 019.29%
Exactly 131.74%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 314.33%
Exactly 45.89%
Exactly 51.94%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 036.95%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.31%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.44%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 046.68%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 213.55%
Exactly 33.44%
Exactly 40.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 063.07%
Exactly 129.07%
Exactly 26.70%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals28.20%
Wins by 3+ goals12.07%
Wins by 4+ goals4.22%
Wins by 5+ goals1.22%
Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals8.08%
Wins by 3+ goals2.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Almeria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.35%
Wins by 2 goals16.13%
Wins by 3 goals7.85%
Wins by 4 goals3.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal14.73%
Wins by 2 goals5.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.87%7.13%
1.574.05%25.95%
2.549.19%50.81%
3.527.30%72.70%
4.512.85%87.15%
5.55.21%94.79%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.71%19.29%
1.548.97%51.03%
2.522.85%77.15%
3.58.52%91.48%
4.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.05%36.95%
1.526.26%73.74%
2.57.95%92.05%
3.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.56%29.44%
1.534.56%65.44%
2.512.55%87.45%
3.53.58%96.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Almeria
Score01234
0
7.13%
7.10%
3.53%
1.17%
0.29%
1
11.73%
11.68%
5.81%
1.93%
0.48%
2
9.65%
9.61%
4.78%
1.59%
0.40%
3
5.29%
5.27%
2.62%
0.87%
0.22%
4
2.18%
2.17%
1.08%
0.36%
0.09%
5
0.72%
0.71%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-011.73%
2-09.65%
2-19.61%
3-05.29%
3-15.27%
3-22.62%
4-02.18%
4-12.17%
4-21.08%
4-30.36%
5-00.72%
5-10.71%
5-20.36%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.13%
1-111.68%
2-24.78%
3-30.87%
Almeria
0-17.10%
0-23.53%
1-25.81%
0-31.17%
1-31.93%
2-31.59%
0-40.29%
1-40.48%
2-40.40%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Almeria
Score0123
0
29.44%
13.57%
3.13%
0.48%
1
22.43%
10.34%
2.38%
0.37%
2
8.55%
3.94%
0.91%
0.14%
3
2.17%
1.00%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.41%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-022.43%
2-08.55%
2-13.94%
3-02.17%
3-11.00%
3-20.23%
4-00.41%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-029.44%
1-110.34%
2-20.91%
Almeria
0-113.57%
0-23.13%
1-22.38%
0-30.48%
1-30.37%
2-30.14%