Real Madrid at Valencia

Updated

Real Madrid

59.0%19.3%21.8%
Real Madrid WinDrawValencia Win
2.10Projected Goals 0.78
2Final Score 1

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Celta Vigo-250
W 1-0 at Betis-115
T 3-3 at Levante-170
W 4-1 at Alaves-175
W 1-2 vs Villarreal-180
Valencia
Money Line
W 4-1 at Osasuna+260
W 0-3 vs Alaves-145
T 1-1 at Granada+190
W 0-1 vs Getafe+140
T 0-0 at Huesca+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-120-130-135-130-140-135-130-123.2
Valencia+310+340+365+369+364+365+369+379.2
Draw+280+295+305+308+283+305+308+317.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-105----125-135-125-123.2
Valencia+265---+240+360+360+379.2
Draw+280---+260+290+290+317.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -127 to -133
Valencia ML moved from +350 to +340

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -120 to -135
No Steam Moves On Valencia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2¾-118o2¾-115o2¾-110-o2¾-115o2¾-110o2¾-105
Underu2¾-112u2¾-102u2¾-105u2¾-100-u2¾-105u2¾+100u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-140--o2½-140o2½-140o2½-140o2¾-105
Underu2½+115u2½+120--u2½+110u2½+120u2½+120u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.62%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 416.08%
Exactly 64.44%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.18%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.26%
Exactly 71.83%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 012.21%
Exactly 125.68%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.92%
Exactly 49.95%
Exactly 54.18%
Exactly 61.47%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 046.03%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 213.86%
Exactly 33.58%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.37%
Exactly 223.43%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 310.41%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 037.77%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 069.82%
Exactly 125.08%
Exactly 24.51%
Exactly 30.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals43.58%
Wins by 3+ goals22.85%
Wins by 4+ goals9.95%
Wins by 5+ goals3.66%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals3.59%
Wins by 3+ goals0.77%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Valencia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals20.72%
Wins by 3 goals12.90%
Wins by 4 goals6.29%
Wins by 5 goals2.51%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal9.03%
Wins by 2 goals2.82%
Wins by 3 goals0.65%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.38%5.62%
1.578.20%21.80%
2.554.91%45.09%
3.532.56%67.44%
4.516.48%83.52%
5.57.22%92.78%
6.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.79%12.21%
1.562.11%37.89%
2.535.11%64.89%
3.516.19%83.81%
4.56.24%93.76%
5.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.97%46.03%
1.518.26%81.74%
2.54.40%95.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.63%26.37%
1.538.48%61.52%
2.515.05%84.95%
3.54.64%95.36%
4.51.18%98.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Valencia
Score0123
0
5.62%
4.36%
1.69%
0.44%
1
11.82%
9.17%
3.56%
0.92%
2
12.43%
9.64%
3.74%
0.97%
3
8.71%
6.76%
2.62%
0.68%
4
4.58%
3.55%
1.38%
0.36%
5
1.93%
1.49%
0.58%
0.15%
Real Madrid
1-011.82%
2-012.43%
2-19.64%
3-08.71%
3-16.76%
3-22.62%
4-04.58%
4-13.55%
4-21.38%
4-30.36%
5-01.93%
5-11.49%
5-20.58%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.62%
1-19.17%
2-23.74%
3-30.68%
Valencia
0-14.36%
0-21.69%
1-23.56%
0-30.44%
1-30.92%
2-30.97%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Valencia
Score0123
0
26.37%
9.47%
1.70%
0.20%
1
25.68%
9.22%
1.66%
0.20%
2
12.50%
4.49%
0.81%
0.10%
3
4.06%
1.46%
0.26%
0.03%
4
0.99%
0.35%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-025.68%
2-012.50%
2-14.49%
3-04.06%
3-11.46%
3-20.26%
4-00.99%
4-10.35%
5-00.19%
Draw
0-026.37%
1-19.22%
2-20.81%
Valencia
0-19.47%
0-21.70%
1-21.66%
0-30.20%
1-30.20%