Almería at Villarreal

Updated

Almeria

8.8%15.3%75.9%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.48
1Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Girona+175
L 1-3 at Betis+500
W 1-3 vs Rayo Vallecano+200
L 0-4 at Athletic Club+750
L 0-1 at Mallorca+350
Villarreal
Money Line
L 0-3 at Barcelona+555
W 0-2 vs Osasuna-135
L 0-1 at Real Sociedad+175
T 0-0 at Cadiz-140
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+717+731+650+800-+800+800+833.1
Villarreal-252-261-265-270--270-261-246.4
Draw+396+408+400+415-+415+415+451.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+700---+680+725+725+833.1
Villarreal-255----340-265-265-246.4
Draw+380---+335+390+390+451.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +625 to +600
Villarreal ML moved from -251 to -261

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +750 to +725
Villarreal ML moved from -320 to -340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3-104o3-105o3+100-o3+100o3+100o3+105
Underu2½+118u3-114u3-115u3-120-u3-120u3-114u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+115--o3+100o3+110o3+115o3+105
Underu2½+115u3-135--u3-130u3-130u3-130u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.06%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 417.82%
Exactly 66.10%
Exactly 81.12%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.01%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 511.42%
Exactly 72.79%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 048.63%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 212.64%
Exactly 33.04%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 08.36%
Exactly 120.74%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 321.30%
Exactly 413.22%
Exactly 56.56%
Exactly 62.71%
Exactly 70.96%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.69%
Exactly 224.96%
Exactly 44.57%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.66%
Exactly 312.34%
Exactly 51.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 071.62%
Exactly 123.91%
Exactly 23.99%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 031.69%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals2.24%
Wins by 3+ goals0.41%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals53.57%
Wins by 3+ goals31.70%
Wins by 4+ goals15.79%
Wins by 5+ goals6.69%
Wins by 6+ goals2.41%
Wins by 7+ goals0.72%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Villarreal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal6.45%
Wins by 2 goals1.83%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal22.24%
Wins by 2 goals21.87%
Wins by 3 goals15.91%
Wins by 4 goals9.10%
Wins by 5 goals4.27%
Wins by 6 goals1.70%
Wins by 7 goals0.57%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.94%4.06%
1.582.92%17.08%
2.562.08%37.92%
3.539.82%60.18%
4.522.00%78.00%
5.510.58%89.42%
6.54.48%95.52%
7.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.37%48.63%
1.516.31%83.69%
2.53.67%96.33%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.64%8.36%
1.570.90%29.10%
2.545.16%54.84%
3.523.86%76.14%
4.510.65%89.35%
5.54.08%95.92%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.31%22.69%
1.543.65%56.35%
2.518.69%81.31%
3.56.35%93.65%
4.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almería
Villarreal
Score012345
0
4.06%
10.09%
12.52%
10.36%
6.43%
3.19%
1
2.93%
7.27%
9.02%
7.47%
4.63%
2.30%
2
1.06%
2.62%
3.25%
2.69%
1.67%
0.83%
3
0.25%
0.63%
0.78%
0.65%
0.40%
0.20%
Almeria
1-02.93%
2-01.06%
2-12.62%
3-00.25%
3-10.63%
3-20.78%
Draw
0-04.06%
1-17.27%
2-23.25%
3-30.65%
Villarreal
0-110.09%
0-212.52%
1-29.02%
0-310.36%
1-37.47%
2-32.69%
0-46.43%
1-44.63%
2-41.67%
3-40.40%
0-53.19%
1-52.30%
2-50.83%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Almería
Villarreal
Score012345
0
22.69%
26.08%
14.99%
5.74%
1.65%
0.38%
1
7.58%
8.71%
5.00%
1.92%
0.55%
0.13%
2
1.26%
1.45%
0.84%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Almeria
1-07.58%
2-01.26%
2-11.45%
3-00.14%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-022.69%
1-18.71%
2-20.84%
Villarreal
0-126.08%
0-214.99%
1-25.00%
0-35.74%
1-31.92%
2-30.32%
0-41.65%
1-40.55%
0-50.38%
1-50.13%