Sevilla at Atlético Madrid

Updated

Sevilla

16.0%23.6%60.4%
WinDrawAtlético Madrid Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.71
1Final Score 6

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Osasuna-135
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano+215
W 0-2 vs Mallorca-110
L 0-3 at Barcelona+900
W 0-3 vs Elche-190
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 at Real Madrid+370
W 0-1 vs Athletic Club-105
W 1-0 at Celta Vigo+115
T 1-1 vs Getafe-240
W 1-0 at Osasuna+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+378+500+500+545+518+545+545+567.9
Atlético Madrid-122-157-160-166-158-166-157-151.7
Draw+256+280+265+290+284+290+290+303.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+435---+380+490+490+567.9
Atlético Madrid-140----165-155-155-151.7
Draw+260---+240+265+265+303.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 20.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +538 to +518
Atlético Madrid ML moved from -146 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sevilla ML
Atlético Madrid ML moved from -140 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2½+120o2¼-105o2¼-109o2½+125o2¼-109o2¼-105o2¼+101
Underu2+118u2½-142u2¼-115u2¼-111u2½-140u2¼-111u2½-140u2¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-145--o2-150o2-145o2-145o2¼+101
Underu2+125u2+125--u2+120u2+125u2+125u2¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.1%
 
No56.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.58%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 413.00%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.08%
Exactly 321.18%
Exactly 56.38%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 047.40%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.21%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 018.11%
Exactly 130.94%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 315.06%
Exactly 46.43%
Exactly 52.20%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.08%
Exactly 220.73%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 070.78%
Exactly 124.46%
Exactly 24.23%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 045.33%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.19%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals4.47%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.11%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals34.13%
Wins by 3+ goals15.35%
Wins by 4+ goals5.62%
Wins by 5+ goals1.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal11.46%
Wins by 2 goals3.57%
Wins by 3 goals0.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.11%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal26.24%
Wins by 2 goals18.79%
Wins by 3 goals9.73%
Wins by 4 goals3.91%
Wins by 5 goals1.28%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.42%8.58%
1.570.34%29.66%
2.544.47%55.53%
3.523.29%76.71%
4.510.29%89.71%
5.53.91%96.09%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.60%47.40%
1.517.21%82.79%
2.54.00%96.00%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.89%18.11%
1.550.95%49.05%
2.524.51%75.49%
3.59.45%90.55%
4.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.92%32.08%
1.531.44%68.56%
2.510.71%89.29%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
8.58%
14.67%
12.53%
7.14%
3.05%
1.04%
1
6.41%
10.95%
9.36%
5.33%
2.28%
0.78%
2
2.39%
4.09%
3.49%
1.99%
0.85%
0.29%
3
0.60%
1.02%
0.87%
0.49%
0.21%
0.07%
4
0.11%
0.19%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Sevilla
1-06.41%
2-02.39%
2-14.09%
3-00.60%
3-11.02%
3-20.87%
4-00.11%
4-10.19%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-08.58%
1-110.95%
2-23.49%
3-30.49%
Atletico Madrid
0-114.67%
0-212.53%
1-29.36%
0-37.14%
1-35.33%
2-31.99%
0-43.05%
1-42.28%
2-40.85%
3-40.21%
0-51.04%
1-50.78%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Score01234
0
32.08%
25.38%
10.04%
2.65%
0.52%
1
11.09%
8.77%
3.47%
0.92%
0.18%
2
1.92%
1.52%
0.60%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.22%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-011.09%
2-01.92%
2-11.52%
3-00.22%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-032.08%
1-18.77%
2-20.60%
Atletico Madrid
0-125.38%
0-210.04%
1-23.47%
0-32.65%
1-30.92%
2-30.16%
0-40.52%
1-40.18%