Valencia at Real Madrid

Updated

Valencia

11.8%9.3%78.9%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.44Projected Goals 2.97
1Final Score 4

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Espanyol-130
W 4-3 at Levante+140
W 1-2 vs Elche-150
W 2-1 at Celta Vigo+315
T 1-1 vs Rayo Vallecano+100
Real Madrid
Money Line
L 0-1 at Getafe-185
W 2-1 at Athletic Club+120
T 0-0 vs Cadiz-850
W 0-2 vs Atletico Madrid-105
W 2-0 at Real Sociedad+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+650+700+775+855+846+775+855+850.6
Real Madrid-260-305-275-283-345-275-275-252.8
Draw+390+450+435+455+458+435+458+460.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+770----+750+750+850.6
Real Madrid-290-----285-285-252.8
Draw+420----+425+425+460.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +785 to +775
Real Madrid ML moved from -329 to -345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +775 to +750
Real Madrid ML moved from -290 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-118o3-125o3-116-o3-125o3-116o3-107
Underu3-115u3-102u3+105u3+101-u3+105u3+105u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-120--o3-115o3-120o3-115o3-107
Underu3-115u3+100--u3-115u3+100u3+100u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes33.9%
 
No66.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.31%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 418.61%
Exactly 67.21%
Exactly 81.50%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.28%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 512.69%
Exactly 73.51%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 064.28%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 05.15%
Exactly 115.27%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.61%
Exactly 59.86%
Exactly 64.87%
Exactly 72.07%
Exactly 80.77%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.64%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 45.33%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 313.52%
Exactly 51.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 081.50%
Exactly 116.68%
Exactly 21.71%
Exactly 30.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 025.32%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 223.89%
Exactly 310.94%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals0.56%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals69.56%
Wins by 3+ goals47.50%
Wins by 4+ goals27.72%
Wins by 5+ goals13.91%
Wins by 6+ goals6.06%
Wins by 7+ goals2.29%
Wins by 8+ goals0.73%
Wins by 9+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Real Madrid
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal2.65%
Wins by 2 goals0.49%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal17.82%
Wins by 2 goals22.06%
Wins by 3 goals19.78%
Wins by 4 goals13.80%
Wins by 5 goals7.86%
Wins by 6 goals3.77%
Wins by 7 goals1.56%
Wins by 8 goals0.56%
Wins by 9 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.69%3.31%
1.585.41%14.59%
2.566.19%33.81%
3.544.35%55.65%
4.525.74%74.26%
5.513.05%86.95%
6.55.85%94.15%
7.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.535.72%64.28%
1.57.31%92.69%
2.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.85%5.15%
1.579.58%20.42%
2.556.93%43.07%
3.534.53%65.47%
4.517.91%82.09%
5.58.06%91.94%
6.53.19%96.81%
7.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.36%20.64%
1.546.80%53.20%
2.521.10%78.90%
3.57.58%92.42%
4.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.31%
9.82%
14.56%
14.40%
10.68%
6.34%
1
1.46%
4.34%
6.43%
6.36%
4.72%
2.80%
2
0.32%
0.96%
1.42%
1.41%
1.04%
0.62%
Valencia
1-01.46%
2-00.32%
2-10.96%
Draw
0-03.31%
1-14.34%
2-21.42%
3-30.21%
Real Madrid
0-19.82%
0-214.56%
1-26.43%
0-314.40%
1-36.36%
2-31.41%
0-410.68%
1-44.72%
2-41.04%
3-40.15%
0-56.34%
1-52.80%
2-50.62%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
20.64%
28.34%
19.47%
8.91%
3.06%
0.84%
0.19%
1
4.22%
5.80%
3.98%
1.82%
0.63%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.43%
0.59%
0.41%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Valencia
1-04.22%
2-00.43%
2-10.59%
Draw
0-020.64%
1-15.80%
2-20.41%
Real Madrid
0-128.34%
0-219.47%
1-23.98%
0-38.91%
1-31.82%
2-30.19%
0-43.06%
1-40.63%
0-50.84%
1-50.17%
0-60.19%