Rayo Vallecano at Real Sociedad

Updated

Rayo Vallecano

17.1%22.6%60.3%
WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.82
1Final Score 2

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Osasuna+105
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+375
T 1-1 at Valencia+285
T 2-2 vs Girona+105
L 0-3 at Celta Vigo+300
Real Sociedad
Money Line
L 0-2 at Athletic Club+270
W 0-2 vs Getafe-140
L 0-2 at Villarreal+200
W 0-2 vs Elche-260
T 1-1 at Mallorca+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+440+490+460+520+540+520+540+541.5
Real Sociedad-150-151-155-152-150-152-150-139.8
Draw+275+273+280+270+273+270+280+282.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+460---+440+460+460+541.5
Real Sociedad-150----175-150-150-139.8
Draw+265---+225+265+265+282.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +460 to +440
Real Sociedad ML moved from -145 to -151

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Rayo Vallecano ML
No Steam Moves On Real Sociedad ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2½+124o2¼-102o2¼+101o2-140o2¼+101o2-139o2¼+110
Underu2¼-125u2½-146u2¼-118u2¼-121u2+125u2¼-121u2½-146u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-140--o2-135o2-140o2-135o2¼+110
Underu2+120u2+120--u2+105u2+120u2+120u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.94%
Exactly 224.70%
Exactly 414.65%
Exactly 63.48%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.51%
Exactly 321.96%
Exactly 57.82%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 042.76%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 016.22%
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 316.27%
Exactly 47.40%
Exactly 52.69%
Exactly 60.82%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.07%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 39.14%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 067.48%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 043.08%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.27%
Exactly 34.29%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals5.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals35.01%
Wins by 3+ goals16.36%
Wins by 4+ goals6.27%
Wins by 5+ goals2.00%
Wins by 6+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal11.78%
Wins by 2 goals4.07%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal25.22%
Wins by 2 goals18.65%
Wins by 3 goals10.09%
Wins by 4 goals4.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.48%
Wins by 6 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.06%6.94%
1.574.55%25.45%
2.549.86%50.14%
3.527.89%72.11%
4.513.24%86.76%
5.55.42%94.58%
6.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.24%42.76%
1.520.91%79.09%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.78%16.22%
1.554.27%45.73%
2.527.44%72.56%
3.511.17%88.83%
4.53.78%96.22%
5.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.93%29.07%
1.535.01%64.99%
2.512.83%87.17%
3.53.69%96.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
6.94%
12.62%
11.47%
6.95%
3.16%
1.15%
1
5.89%
10.72%
9.75%
5.91%
2.69%
0.98%
2
2.50%
4.55%
4.14%
2.51%
1.14%
0.42%
3
0.71%
1.29%
1.17%
0.71%
0.32%
0.12%
4
0.15%
0.27%
0.25%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
Rayo Vallecano
1-05.89%
2-02.50%
2-14.55%
3-00.71%
3-11.29%
3-21.17%
4-00.15%
4-10.27%
4-20.25%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-06.94%
1-110.72%
2-24.14%
3-30.71%
Real Sociedad
0-112.62%
0-211.47%
1-29.75%
0-36.95%
1-35.91%
2-32.51%
0-43.16%
1-42.69%
2-41.14%
3-40.32%
0-51.15%
1-50.98%
2-50.42%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
29.07%
24.48%
10.31%
2.89%
0.61%
0.10%
1
11.44%
9.63%
4.05%
1.14%
0.24%
0.04%
2
2.25%
1.89%
0.80%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Rayo Vallecano
1-011.44%
2-02.25%
2-11.89%
3-00.29%
3-10.25%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-029.07%
1-19.63%
2-20.80%
Real Sociedad
0-124.48%
0-210.31%
1-24.05%
0-32.89%
1-31.14%
2-30.22%
0-40.61%
1-40.24%
0-50.10%