Real Madrid at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Real Madrid

72.7%17.3%10.0%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
2.26Projected Goals 0.71
2Final Score 3

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Girona-400
W 1-3 vs Sevilla-265
W 3-0 at Elche-380
W 1-3 vs Barcelona+130
W 1-0 at Getafe-210
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
W 1-0 at Sevilla+285
W 1-5 vs Cadiz-140
T 1-1 at Atletico Madrid+610
T 0-0 vs Getafe-105
L 1-3 at Almeria+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-157-132-135-133-131-133-131-124.6
Rayo Vallecano+442+382+370+390+417+390+417+428.5
Draw+309+279+280+285+282+285+285+290.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-175----180-150-150-124.6
Rayo Vallecano+470---+380+410+410+428.5
Draw+315---+260+290+290+290.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -145 to -152
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +393 to +386

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -170 to -180
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +400 to +370

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-118o2½-112o2½-115o2½-112o2½-115o2½-112o2½-104
Underu2½+115u2½+100u2½-108u2½-105u2½-103u2½-105u2½+100u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-120--o2½-135o2½-125o2½-120o2½-104
Underu2½+115u2½+100--u2½+105u2½+105u2½+105u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-115 to o2¾-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.13%
Exactly 222.62%
Exactly 416.64%
Exactly 64.89%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.23%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.88%
Exactly 72.08%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 010.40%
Exactly 123.53%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 320.10%
Exactly 411.38%
Exactly 55.15%
Exactly 61.94%
Exactly 70.63%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 049.32%
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 212.32%
Exactly 32.90%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.27%
Exactly 223.91%
Exactly 43.77%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 310.96%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 035.06%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.26%
Exactly 36.73%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 072.09%
Exactly 123.59%
Exactly 23.86%
Exactly 30.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals48.90%
Wins by 3+ goals27.20%
Wins by 4+ goals12.62%
Wins by 5+ goals4.96%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals2.58%
Wins by 3+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.73%
Wins by 2 goals21.71%
Wins by 3 goals14.57%
Wins by 4 goals7.66%
Wins by 5 goals3.30%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal7.40%
Wins by 2 goals2.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.87%5.13%
1.579.64%20.36%
2.557.02%42.98%
3.534.62%65.38%
4.517.98%82.02%
5.58.10%91.90%
6.53.20%96.80%
7.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.60%10.40%
1.566.07%33.93%
2.539.43%60.57%
3.519.33%80.67%
4.57.96%92.04%
5.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.68%49.32%
1.515.82%84.18%
2.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.73%25.27%
1.539.96%60.04%
2.516.06%83.94%
3.55.10%94.90%
4.51.33%98.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
5.13%
3.62%
1.28%
0.30%
1
11.61%
8.20%
2.90%
0.68%
2
13.14%
9.29%
3.28%
0.77%
3
9.91%
7.01%
2.48%
0.58%
4
5.61%
3.97%
1.40%
0.33%
5
2.54%
1.80%
0.63%
0.15%
Real Madrid
1-011.61%
2-013.14%
2-19.29%
3-09.91%
3-17.01%
3-22.48%
4-05.61%
4-13.97%
4-21.40%
4-30.33%
5-02.54%
5-11.80%
5-20.63%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.13%
1-18.20%
2-23.28%
3-30.58%
Rayo Vallecano
0-13.62%
0-21.28%
1-22.90%
0-30.30%
1-30.68%
2-30.77%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
25.27%
8.27%
1.35%
0.15%
1
26.49%
8.67%
1.42%
0.15%
2
13.88%
4.54%
0.74%
0.08%
3
4.85%
1.59%
0.26%
0.03%
4
1.27%
0.42%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.27%
0.09%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-026.49%
2-013.88%
2-14.54%
3-04.85%
3-11.59%
3-20.26%
4-01.27%
4-10.42%
5-00.27%
Draw
0-025.27%
1-18.67%
2-20.74%
Rayo Vallecano
0-18.27%
0-21.35%
1-21.42%
0-30.15%
1-30.15%