Sevilla at Valladolid

Updated

Sevilla

38.6%29.4%32.0%
Sevilla WinDrawValladolid Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.02
3Final Score 0

Valladolid

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Espanyol-125
L 2-0 vs Girona-110
W 1-0 at Athletic Club+360
W 1-2 vs Villarreal+175
W 2-0 at Valencia+315
Valladolid
Money Line
L 1-2 at Rayo Vallecano+315
L 5-2 vs Atletico Madrid+400
L 1-2 at Valencia+390
W 0-1 vs Girona+145
W 2-1 at Villarreal+550

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+212+189+190+191+200+191+200+201.3
Valladolid+127+151+145+151+153+151+153+159.9
Draw+258+239+235+241+243+241+243+253.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+220---+195+190+195+201.3
Valladolid+120---+105+145+145+159.9
Draw+255---+235+235+235+253.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 30.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +190 to +180
Valladolid ML moved from +131 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 30.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +220 to +180
Valladolid ML moved from +155 to +145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-103o2½+102o2½+103o2½+104o2½+103o2½+104o2½+112
Underu2½-104u2½-115u2½-122u2½-123u2½-119u2½-123u2½-115u2½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-110--o2½-120o2½+105o2½+105o2½+112
Underu2½-105u2½-110--u2½-110u2½-125u2½-110u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-117 to u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-105 to o2½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.54%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 410.45%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.92%
Exactly 319.36%
Exactly 54.51%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 031.85%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.85%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Valladolid
Exactly 036.24%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.67%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.80%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 41.53%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 058.88%
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 28.26%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valladolid
Exactly 062.50%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals15.95%
Wins by 3+ goals5.02%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%
Valladolid
Wins by 2+ goals12.00%
Wins by 3+ goals3.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Valladolid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal22.51%
Wins by 2 goals10.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.81%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Valladolid
Wins by 1 goal19.97%
Wins by 2 goals8.61%
Wins by 3 goals2.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.46%11.54%
1.563.54%36.46%
2.536.63%63.37%
3.517.27%82.73%
4.56.82%93.18%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.15%31.85%
1.531.71%68.29%
2.510.86%89.14%
3.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Valladolid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.76%36.24%
1.526.98%73.02%
2.58.31%91.69%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.20%36.80%
1.526.41%73.59%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Valladolid
Score012345
0
11.54%
11.72%
5.95%
2.01%
0.51%
0.10%
1
13.21%
13.40%
6.80%
2.30%
0.58%
0.12%
2
7.55%
7.67%
3.89%
1.32%
0.33%
0.07%
3
2.88%
2.92%
1.48%
0.50%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.82%
0.84%
0.42%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-013.21%
2-07.55%
2-17.67%
3-02.88%
3-12.92%
3-21.48%
4-00.82%
4-10.84%
4-20.42%
4-30.14%
5-00.19%
5-10.19%
Draw
0-011.54%
1-113.40%
2-23.89%
3-30.50%
Valladolid
0-111.72%
0-25.95%
1-26.80%
0-32.01%
1-32.30%
2-31.32%
0-40.51%
1-40.58%
2-40.33%
3-40.13%
0-50.10%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Valladolid
Score0123
0
36.80%
17.29%
4.06%
0.64%
1
19.49%
9.16%
2.15%
0.34%
2
5.16%
2.43%
0.57%
0.09%
3
0.91%
0.43%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-019.49%
2-05.16%
2-12.43%
3-00.91%
3-10.43%
3-20.10%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-036.80%
1-19.16%
2-20.57%
Valladolid
0-117.29%
0-24.06%
1-22.15%
0-30.64%
1-30.34%