Valencia at Celta Vigo

Updated

Valencia

33.5%27.8%38.7%
Valencia WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.24
2Final Score 1

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Villarreal+155
L 1-2 at Cadiz+160
W 1-2 vs Valladolid-140
W 2-0 at Elche-115
L 2-0 vs Sevilla+105
Celta Vigo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Getafe+195
L 1-3 at Villarreal+360
W 0-1 vs Elche-280
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+870
L 1-0 vs Mallorca-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+233+240+220+245+252+245+245+256.8
Celta Vigo+122+126+125+129+124+129+129+136.8
Draw+245+230+235+225+236+225+236+236.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+230---+210+240+240+256.8
Celta Vigo+125---+110+125+125+136.8
Draw+230---+205+220+220+236.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +252 to +243
Celta Vigo ML moved from +135 to +127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +245 to +230
No Steam Moves On Celta Vigo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+107o2¼-115o2¼-117o2-169o2¼-117o2-144o2¼-106
Underu2½-130u2½-127u2¼-105u2¼-103u2+154u2¼-103u2½-138u2¼+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-145--o2½+110o2½+125o2-145o2¼-106
Underu2+125u2+125--u2½-140u2½-145u2½-140u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-150 to o2½+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.32%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 412.31%
Exactly 62.31%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.12%
Exactly 320.75%
Exactly 55.84%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 032.18%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.68%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 028.97%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.34%
Exactly 220.11%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.37%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 059.16%
Exactly 131.05%
Exactly 28.15%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 056.35%
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 29.27%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals13.48%
Wins by 3+ goals4.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals16.83%
Wins by 3+ goals5.68%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal19.95%
Wins by 2 goals9.34%
Wins by 3 goals3.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal21.80%
Wins by 2 goals11.15%
Wins by 3 goals4.15%
Wins by 4 goals1.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.68%9.32%
1.568.55%31.45%
2.542.31%57.69%
3.521.56%78.44%
4.59.25%90.75%
5.53.40%96.60%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.82%32.18%
1.531.33%68.67%
2.510.65%89.35%
3.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.03%28.97%
1.535.14%64.86%
2.512.90%87.10%
3.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.66%33.34%
1.530.04%69.96%
2.59.93%90.07%
3.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
9.32%
11.55%
7.16%
2.95%
0.92%
0.23%
1
10.57%
13.10%
8.11%
3.35%
1.04%
0.26%
2
5.99%
7.42%
4.60%
1.90%
0.59%
0.15%
3
2.26%
2.81%
1.74%
0.72%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.64%
0.80%
0.49%
0.20%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.18%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-010.57%
2-05.99%
2-17.42%
3-02.26%
3-12.81%
3-21.74%
4-00.64%
4-10.80%
4-20.49%
4-30.20%
5-00.15%
5-10.18%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-09.32%
1-113.10%
2-24.60%
3-30.72%
Celta Vigo
0-111.55%
0-27.16%
1-28.11%
0-32.95%
1-33.35%
2-31.90%
0-40.92%
1-41.04%
2-40.59%
3-40.22%
0-50.23%
1-50.26%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
33.34%
19.12%
5.48%
1.05%
0.15%
1
17.50%
10.04%
2.88%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.59%
2.63%
0.76%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.80%
0.46%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Valencia
1-017.50%
2-04.59%
2-12.63%
3-00.80%
3-10.46%
3-20.13%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-033.34%
1-110.04%
2-20.76%
Celta Vigo
0-119.12%
0-25.48%
1-22.88%
0-31.05%
1-30.55%
2-30.14%
0-40.15%