Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano 		14.1%
65.3%		20.5%
+460
-139
+440
-150
0.80
2.00		2.80
o2¼-109
u2¼-101
o2½+115
u2½-135
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Levante
Atletico Madrid		6.6%
79.9%		13.5%
+1250
-445
+1205
-505
1
3		-0.23082-0.22877-0.22431
Osasuna
Sevilla		28.8%
43.0%		28.2%
+250
+138
+290
+126
0
1		-0.88247-0.82191-0.84383
Alaves
Girona		24.7%
48.2%		27.1%
+285
+114
+275
+125
0
1		-0.79043-0.82050-0.73050
Real Sociedad
Elche		33.3%
37.1%		29.5%
+153
+220
+155
+212
1
1		-1.17668-1.18800-1.21919
Osasuna
Oviedo		38.1%
32.0%		29.9%
+148
+223
+145
+224
0
0		-1.18378-1.17005-1.20835
Mallorca
Betis		15.8%
62.6%		21.6%
+495
-176
+500
-180
0
3		-0.47994-0.48568-0.46898
Elche
Barcelona		4.3%
85.3%		10.4%
+1350
-488
+1450
-515
1
3		-0.20853-0.21209-0.15908
Espanyol
Alaves		25.6%
47.0%		27.4%
+235
+145
+230
+140
1
2		-0.92594-0.92712-0.75445
Celta Vigo
Levante		41.7%
31.3%		27.0%
+138
+215
+150
+190
2
1		-0.89504-0.95451-0.87455
Valencia
Real Madrid		6.4%
80.8%		12.8%
+1925
-655
+1800
-700
0
4		-0.16819-0.17459-0.21329
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		42.5%
28.9%		28.7%
+200
+178
+185
+185
2
3		-1.05177-1.08726-1.24261
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid		7.9%
76.2%		15.9%
+825
-268
+810
-290
0
3		-0.34791-0.33420-0.27176
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		25.3%
49.4%		25.3%
+430
-133
+380
-140
0
4		-0.57909-0.58913-0.70556
Girona
Getafe		30.1%
40.4%		29.6%
+318
+115
+305
+115
1
2		-0.78509-0.80982-0.90753
Atletico Madrid
Betis		40.7%
31.5%		27.8%
+119
+245
+115
+235
2
0		-0.80788-0.80979-0.89980
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano		15.5%
62.1%		22.5%
+290
+126
+285
+120
0
1		-0.84388-0.83496-0.47721
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.