Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+115
+237
+115
+245
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-125
u2½+110
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Espanyol
Sevilla		17.1%
60.1%		22.8%
+415
-130
+435
-135
1
1		-1.31946-1.32950-1.47889
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+305
+101
+320
-105
1
1		-1.30291-1.34838-1.71313
Betis
Mallorca		33.2%
38.2%		28.6%
+315
+122
+305
+115
1
0		-1.45308-1.43784-1.10301
Osasuna
Las Palmas		32.8%
37.6%		29.6%
+219
+146
+200
+150
1
1		-1.20381-1.19696-1.21740
Mallorca
Villarreal		20.5%
55.7%		23.8%
+460
-144
+475
-145
0
4		-0.55544-0.54644-0.58465
Real Sociedad
Valencia		35.8%
35.1%		29.1%
+167
+225
+165
+205
0
1		-1.20534-1.16398-1.04768
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		23.4%
50.7%		25.9%
+250
+132
+245
+130
1
1		-1.18104-1.18866-1.35097
Las Palmas
Real Madrid		4.5%
84.7%		10.8%
+1650
-584
+1650
-690
1
4		-0.18970-0.18111-0.16598
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		34.5%
36.4%		29.1%
+133
+240
+180
+223
2
1		-0.87187-1.00373-1.06398
Barcelona
Getafe		62.2%
15.5%		22.3%
-205
+640
-225
+660
1
1		-1.55898-1.56647-1.49973
Alaves
Betis		22.8%
51.6%		25.6%
+370
-115
+400
-120
3
1		-1.57881-1.63619-1.47907
Atletico Madrid
Leganes		67.9%
11.8%		20.4%
-185
+630
-200
+635
0
1		-2.01801-2.04030-2.14123
Sevilla
Girona		24.2%
49.5%		26.3%
+337
-108
+355
-115
2
1		-1.50409-1.55471-1.41894
Valladolid
Espanyol		25.7%
48.1%		26.2%
+440
-122
+430
-130
1
2		-0.62131-0.61745-0.73251
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		24.0%
50.9%		25.1%
+301
+100
+295
+100
0
1		-0.72764-0.73129-0.67600
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid		9.6%
72.7%		17.6%
+1100
-315
+1000
-345
0
1		-0.30457-0.30143-0.31847
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.