Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mallorca
Osasuna 		22.6%
50.1%		27.3%
+403
-122
+400
-130
0.84
1.41		2.25
o2¼-105
u2¼-108
o2-140
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Girona
Levante 		35.7%
36.7%		27.6%
+151
+193
+150
+182
1.19
1.22		2.41
o2½-105
u2½-114
o2½-105
u2½-115
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 		11.9%
68.4%		19.7%
+448
-152
+440
-160
0.71
2.03		2.74
o2½-118
u2½+105
o2½-120
u2½+100
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-148
+368
-165
+385
1.64
0.76		2.40
o3-120
u3+107
o3-125
u3+120
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mallorca
Osasuna		24.7%
48.0%		27.3%
+245
+143
+235
+145
0
1		-0.90167-0.93425-0.73395
Villarreal
Sevilla		25.7%
48.4%		25.8%
+234
+120
+220
+120
2
1		-1.22850-1.20554-1.35747
Valencia
Celta Vigo		30.3%
42.5%		27.2%
+277
+121
+260
+110
1
3		-0.80477-0.79308-0.85611
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal		47.5%
26.2%		26.3%
+110
+261
+103
+260
2
2		-1.32954-1.33815-1.33572
Espanyol
Valladolid		26.6%
46.7%		26.7%
+288
+135
+270
+130
0
1		-0.87642-0.87601-0.76175
Real Madrid
Mallorca		72.5%
9.9%		17.5%
-248
+880
-270
+835
1
1		-1.62399-1.60425-1.74097
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad		13.1%
67.0%		19.9%
+483
-126
+510
-135
2
1		-1.77928-1.83214-2.03546
Barcelona
Valencia		55.2%
21.0%		23.8%
-114
+355
-125
+350
2
1		-0.64531-0.62923-0.59490
Leganes
Osasuna		17.4%
58.5%		24.2%
+415
-112
+400
-118
1
1		-1.22125-1.25435-1.42076
Sevilla
Las Palmas		38.0%
32.2%		29.8%
+194
+170
+180
+165
2
2		-1.19670-1.19806-1.20919
Alaves
Celta Vigo		23.3%
50.7%		26.0%
+297
+113
+305
+108
1
2		-0.78204-0.76260-0.67948
Girona
Betis		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+224
+140
+205
+135
1
1		-1.24925-1.26595-1.29404
Getafe
Athletic Club		13.4%
64.3%		22.3%
+650
-164
+610
-180
1
1		-1.37188-1.38079-1.50072
Barcelona
Sevilla		53.0%
21.9%		25.0%
-140
+363
-140
+340
2
1		-0.56523-0.58656-0.63412
Alaves
Las Palmas		26.2%
45.5%		28.3%
+212
+138
+205
+140
1
1		-1.28910-1.26171-1.26351
Valencia
Celta Vigo		29.7%
43.2%		27.1%
+305
-104
+325
-110
2
2		-1.33891-1.31509-1.30538
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.93433 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.91659 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67380
0.26053
0.24279

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.